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Josh Hart vs Jrue Holiday: who to start in Week 1

Josh Hart plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jrue Holiday 2. For that week alone, start Josh Hart: 92.8 projected fantasy points to 61.9 for Jrue Holiday. Over the season, Josh Hart leads in both formats: 30.9 fantasy points a game to 30.9, and 56th against 83rd in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 8:26 AM ET.

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Josh Hart
SGSFNYKage 31
Points leagues
#75
30.9 FP/G, slot 7.03, $13
9-cat leagues
#56
+0.1 z, slot 5.08, $16

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Jrue Holiday
PGSGPORage 36
Points leagues
#76
30.9 FP/G, slot 7.04, $13
9-cat leagues
#83
-1.0 z, slot 7.11, $10

The call

Points leagues: Josh Hart. 30.9 fantasy points per game against 30.9, 75th on our board to 76th.

9-cat leagues: Josh Hart again, +0.1 in summed z-scores against -1.0 (56th to 83rd).

Category by category, Josh Hart is ahead in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, FG% and TO) and Jrue Holiday in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Jrue Holiday produces more: 38.8 fantasy points to 36.5, on 28.7 minutes a night against 30.5. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Josh Hart plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jrue Holiday 2. For that week alone, start Josh Hart: 92.8 projected fantasy points to 61.9 for Jrue Holiday.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameJosh HartJrue Holiday
Fantasy points per game30.930.9
Minutes30.528.7
PointsPTS12.015.6
ReboundsREB7.64.4
AssistsAST4.75.9
StealsSTL1.21.1
BlocksBLK0.30.2
Threes3PM1.62.5
Field goal %FG%49.4%44.6%
Free throw %FT%71.5%83.7%
TurnoversTO1.82.4
Games, 2025-266653

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Josh HartJrue Holiday
Fantasy points36.538.8
Points14.119.5
Rebounds9.05.5
Assists5.67.4
Steals1.51.3
Blocks0.30.2
Threes1.93.1
Turnovers2.23.0

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJosh HartJrue Holiday
PointsPTS-0.7-0.1
ReboundsREB+0.8-0.6
AssistsAST+0.6+1.2
StealsSTL+0.6+0.1
BlocksBLK-0.8-1.1
Threes3PM-0.1+0.9
Field goal percentageFG%+0.1-0.8
Free throw percentageFT%-0.5+0.3
TurnoversTO+0.0-0.7
Total+0.1-1.0

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Jrue Holiday.

PuntJosh HartJrue Holiday
PTS+0.7 (#39)-0.9 (#101)
REB-0.9 (#88)-0.3 (#70)
AST-0.6 (#77)-2.2 (#158)
STL-0.6 (#75)-1.1 (#103)
BLK+0.7 (#43)+0.1 (#58)
3PM+0.1 (#61)-1.9 (#132)
FG%-0.4 (#69)-0.1 (#63)
FT%+0.5 (#48)-1.3 (#107)
TO-0.1 (#63)-0.3 (#66)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Josh Hart: 3 games (Tue PHI, Fri @BOS, Sun ORL).
  • Jrue Holiday: 2 games (Wed PHX, Fri @SAC).

Josh Hart or Jrue Holiday: the Week 1 start/sit call

Recent games

  • Josh Hart: 35.9 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 30.9 on the board.
  • Jrue Holiday: 25.8 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 30.9 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Josh Hart playing tonight? · Is Jrue Holiday playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Jrue Holiday

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Josh Hart or Jrue Holiday?

    Points leagues: Josh Hart. 30.9 fantasy points per game against 30.9, 75th on our board to 76th. 9-cat leagues: Josh Hart again, +0.1 in summed z-scores against -1.0 (56th to 83rd).

  • Who wins more categories, Josh Hart or Jrue Holiday?

    Category by category, Josh Hart is ahead in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, FG% and TO) and Jrue Holiday in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Josh Hart or Jrue Holiday?

    Josh Hart plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jrue Holiday 2. For that week alone, start Josh Hart: 92.8 projected fantasy points to 61.9 for Jrue Holiday.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 8:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number