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Javon Small vs Paul Reed: who to start in Week 2

Javon Small plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Paul Reed 3. For that week alone, start Paul Reed: 62.3 projected fantasy points to 62.1 for Javon Small. Over the season, Paul Reed leads in both formats: 20.8 fantasy points a game to 20.7, and 166th against 188th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 26, 2:30 PM ET.

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Javon Small
PGSGMEMage 23
Points leagues
#191
20.7 FP/G, slot 16.11
9-cat leagues
#188
-3.4 z, slot 16.08
Paul Reed
CPFDETage 27
Points leagues
#190
20.8 FP/G, slot 16.10
9-cat leagues
#166
-2.8 z, slot 14.10

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Paul Reed. 20.8 fantasy points per game against 20.7, 190th on our board to 191st.

9-cat leagues: Paul Reed again, -2.8 in summed z-scores against -3.4 (166th to 188th).

Category by category, Javon Small is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Paul Reed in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Paul Reed produces more: 49.1 fantasy points to 36.8, on 15.2 minutes a night against 20.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Javon Small plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Paul Reed 3. For that week alone, start Paul Reed: 62.3 projected fantasy points to 62.1 for Javon Small.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameJavon SmallPaul Reed
Fantasy points per game20.720.8
Minutes20.215.2
PointsPTS9.78.3
ReboundsREB3.15.2
AssistsAST3.71.4
StealsSTL0.80.8
BlocksBLK0.20.9
Threes3PM1.50.3
Field goal %FG%46.5%61.5%
Free throw %FT%82.9%65.3%
TurnoversTO1.41.0
Games, 2025-264165

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Javon SmallPaul Reed
Fantasy points36.849.1
Points17.219.6
Rebounds5.612.2
Assists6.53.3
Steals1.51.9
Blocks0.42.2
Threes2.60.7
Turnovers2.42.4

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJavon SmallPaul Reed
PointsPTS-1.2-1.4
ReboundsREB-1.1-0.2
AssistsAST+0.0-1.1
StealsSTL-0.5-0.7
BlocksBLK-0.9+0.5
Threes3PM-0.2-1.4
Field goal percentageFG%-0.2+1.3
Free throw percentageFT%+0.2-0.8
TurnoversTO+0.6+1.1
Total-3.4-2.8

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, blocks and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Javon Small.

PuntJavon SmallPaul Reed
PTS-2.2 (#181)-1.4 (#133)
REB-2.3 (#154)-2.8 (#175)
AST-3.5 (#214)-1.7 (#131)
STL-2.9 (#179)-2.2 (#152)
BLK-2.6 (#158)-3.6 (#201)
3PM-3.2 (#192)-1.3 (#105)
FG%-3.3 (#173)-4.5 (#229)
FT%-3.6 (#199)-2.0 (#138)
TO-4.1 (#177)-4.0 (#175)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)

  • Javon Small: 3 games (Mon @UTA, Thu @POR, Sat SAC), 1 back-to-back.
  • Paul Reed: 3 games (Tue @NYK, Wed CHA, Fri @BKN), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 2 streamers

Recent games

  • Javon Small: 24.4 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 20.7 on the board.
  • Paul Reed: 26.8 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 20.8 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Javon Small playing tonight? · Is Paul Reed playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Javon Small

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Javon Small or Paul Reed?

    Points leagues: Paul Reed. 20.8 fantasy points per game against 20.7, 190th on our board to 191st. 9-cat leagues: Paul Reed again, -2.8 in summed z-scores against -3.4 (166th to 188th).

  • Who wins more categories, Javon Small or Paul Reed?

    Category by category, Javon Small is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Paul Reed in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 2, Javon Small or Paul Reed?

    Javon Small plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Paul Reed 3. For that week alone, start Paul Reed: 62.3 projected fantasy points to 62.1 for Javon Small.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 26, 2026 at 2:30 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number