Paul Reed vs Precious Achiuwa: who to start in Week 1
Paul Reed plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Precious Achiuwa 3. For that week alone, start Precious Achiuwa: 73.7 projected fantasy points to 61.2 for Paul Reed. Over the season, Precious Achiuwa leads in points leagues (24.6 fantasy points a game to 20.4) and Paul Reed in 9-cat leagues (157th against 159th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 25, 10:29 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #200
- 20.4 FP/G, slot 17.08
- 9-cat leagues
- #157
- -2.5 z, slot 14.01
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #139
- 24.6 FP/G, slot 12.07, $4
- 9-cat leagues
- #159
- -2.5 z, slot 14.03
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Precious Achiuwa. 24.6 fantasy points per game against 20.4, 139th on our board to 200th.
9-cat leagues: Paul Reed instead, -2.5 in summed z-scores against -2.5 (157th to 159th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Paul Reed is ahead in 3 (BLK, FG% and FT%) and Precious Achiuwa in 4 (PTS, REB, STL and 3PM).
Per 36 minutes, Paul Reed produces more: 49.8 fantasy points to 36.4, on 14.8 minutes a night against 24.3. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Paul Reed plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Precious Achiuwa 3. For that week alone, start Precious Achiuwa: 73.7 projected fantasy points to 61.2 for Paul Reed.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Paul Reed | Precious Achiuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 20.4 | 24.6 |
| Minutes | 14.8 | 24.3 |
| PointsPTS | 8.3 | 10.6 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.0 | 6.6 |
| AssistsAST | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| StealsSTL | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Threes3PM | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Field goal %FG% | 63.1% | 54.2% |
| Free throw %FT% | 69.9% | 59.1% |
| TurnoversTO | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 65 | 73 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Paul Reed | Precious Achiuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 49.8 | 36.4 |
| Points | 20.3 | 15.7 |
| Rebounds | 12.2 | 9.8 |
| Assists | 3.4 | 2.1 |
| Steals | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Blocks | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| Threes | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| Turnovers | 2.2 | 1.3 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Paul Reed | Precious Achiuwa |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.4 | -1.0 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.3 | +0.4 |
| AssistsAST | -1.1 | -1.1 |
| StealsSTL | -0.5 | -0.0 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.3 | -0.2 |
| Threes3PM | -1.4 | -1.3 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +1.3 | +0.8 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.5 | -1.3 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.2 | +1.2 |
| Total | -2.5 | -2.5 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting blocks, field goal percentage, free throw percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Precious Achiuwa.
| Punt | Paul Reed | Precious Achiuwa |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.1 (#116) | -1.5 (#139) |
| REB | -2.4 (#159) | -3.2 (#204) |
| AST | -1.4 (#120) | -1.5 (#122) |
| STL | -2.1 (#146) | -2.6 (#166) |
| BLK | -3.1 (#171) | -2.7 (#156) |
| 3PM | -1.1 (#98) | -1.2 (#103) |
| FG% | -4.3 (#221) | -4.0 (#208) |
| FT% | -2.0 (#137) | -1.2 (#104) |
| TO | -3.9 (#174) | -3.8 (#173) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Paul Reed: 3 games (Tue BOS, Fri @MIA, Sun @PHI).
- Precious Achiuwa: 3 games (Wed @LAC, Fri POR, Sun MEM).
Recent games
- Paul Reed: 27.0 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 20.4 on the board.
- Precious Achiuwa: 28.4 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 24.6 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Paul Reed playing tonight? · Is Precious Achiuwa playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Paul Reed or Precious Achiuwa?
Points leagues: Precious Achiuwa. 24.6 fantasy points per game against 20.4, 139th on our board to 200th. 9-cat leagues: Paul Reed instead, -2.5 in summed z-scores against -2.5 (157th to 159th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Paul Reed or Precious Achiuwa?
Category by category, Paul Reed is ahead in 3 (BLK, FG% and FT%) and Precious Achiuwa in 4 (PTS, REB, STL and 3PM).
Who should I start in Week 1, Paul Reed or Precious Achiuwa?
Paul Reed plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Precious Achiuwa 3. For that week alone, start Precious Achiuwa: 73.7 projected fantasy points to 61.2 for Paul Reed.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 25, 2026 at 10:29 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number