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Jaxson Hayes vs Luke Kornet: who to start in Week 1

Jaxson Hayes plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Luke Kornet 3. For that week alone, start Jaxson Hayes: 56.9 projected fantasy points to 55.6 for Luke Kornet. Over the season, Jaxson Hayes leads in both formats: 19.0 fantasy points a game to 18.5, and 176th against 178th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 25, 2:29 PM ET.

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Jaxson Hayes
CPFUTAage 26
Points leagues
#221
19.0 FP/G, slot 19.05
9-cat leagues
#176
-3.1 z, slot 15.08

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Luke Kornet
CSASage 31
Points leagues
#226
18.5 FP/G, slot 19.10
9-cat leagues
#178
-3.2 z, slot 15.10

The call

Points leagues: Jaxson Hayes. 19.0 fantasy points per game against 18.5, 221st on our board to 226th.

9-cat leagues: Jaxson Hayes again, -3.1 in summed z-scores against -3.2 (176th to 178th).

Category by category, Jaxson Hayes is ahead in 4 (PTS, STL, BLK and FG%) and Luke Kornet in 3 (REB, AST and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Jaxson Hayes produces more: 35.6 fantasy points to 33.5, on 19.2 minutes a night against 19.9. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Jaxson Hayes plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Luke Kornet 3. For that week alone, start Jaxson Hayes: 56.9 projected fantasy points to 55.6 for Luke Kornet.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameJaxson HayesLuke Kornet
Fantasy points per game19.018.5
Minutes19.219.9
PointsPTS7.96.1
ReboundsREB4.25.5
AssistsAST1.11.6
StealsSTL0.50.4
BlocksBLK1.10.9
Threes3PM0.00.0
Field goal %FG%76.5%63.6%
Free throw %FT%63.9%78.7%
TurnoversTO0.50.5
Games, 2025-266668

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Jaxson HayesLuke Kornet
Fantasy points35.633.5
Points14.910.9
Rebounds7.910.0
Assists2.02.9
Steals0.90.7
Blocks2.11.6
Threes0.10.0
Turnovers0.90.8

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJaxson HayesLuke Kornet
PointsPTS-1.5-1.8
ReboundsREB-0.7-0.1
AssistsAST-1.3-1.0
StealsSTL-1.4-1.7
BlocksBLK+0.9+0.5
Threes3PM-1.7-1.7
Field goal percentageFG%+1.9+0.9
Free throw percentageFT%-1.2-0.1
TurnoversTO+1.7+1.8
Total-3.1-3.2

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting points, steals, blocks, threes and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Luke Kornet.

PuntJaxson HayesLuke Kornet
PTS-1.7 (#150)-1.4 (#129)
REB-2.8 (#178)-3.3 (#209)
AST-1.9 (#146)-2.2 (#157)
STL-1.9 (#136)-1.6 (#125)
BLK-4.4 (#246)-4.0 (#218)
3PM-1.5 (#113)-1.5 (#111)
FG%-5.9 (#290)-4.6 (#232)
FT%-1.9 (#134)-3.1 (#181)
TO-5.1 (#213)-5.2 (#214)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Jaxson Hayes: 3 games (Wed @MEM, Fri NOP, Sun LAL).
  • Luke Kornet: 3 games (Tue OKC, Fri HOU, Sat @DAL), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Jaxson Hayes: 33.8 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 19.0 on the board.
  • Luke Kornet: 8.7 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 18.5 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Jaxson Hayes playing tonight? · Is Luke Kornet playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jaxson Hayes or Luke Kornet?

    Points leagues: Jaxson Hayes. 19.0 fantasy points per game against 18.5, 221st on our board to 226th. 9-cat leagues: Jaxson Hayes again, -3.1 in summed z-scores against -3.2 (176th to 178th).

  • Who wins more categories, Jaxson Hayes or Luke Kornet?

    Category by category, Jaxson Hayes is ahead in 4 (PTS, STL, BLK and FG%) and Luke Kornet in 3 (REB, AST and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Jaxson Hayes or Luke Kornet?

    Jaxson Hayes plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Luke Kornet 3. For that week alone, start Jaxson Hayes: 56.9 projected fantasy points to 55.6 for Luke Kornet.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 25, 2026 at 2:29 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number