Jaylen Wells vs Kris Dunn: who to start in Week 1
Jaylen Wells plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Kris Dunn 3. For that week alone, start Kris Dunn: 65.0 projected fantasy points to 64.7 for Jaylen Wells. Over the season, Kris Dunn leads in both formats: 21.7 fantasy points a game to 21.6, and 124th against 200th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 24, 10:27 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #176
- 21.6 FP/G, slot 15.08
- 9-cat leagues
- #200
- -3.8 z, slot 17.08
- Points leagues
- #175
- 21.7 FP/G, slot 15.07
- 9-cat leagues
- #124
- -1.9 z, slot 11.04, $4
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Kris Dunn. 21.7 fantasy points per game against 21.6, 175th on our board to 176th.
9-cat leagues: Kris Dunn again, -1.9 in summed z-scores against -3.8 (124th to 200th).
Category by category, Jaylen Wells is ahead in 3 (PTS, 3PM and TO) and Kris Dunn in 5 (AST, STL, BLK, FG% and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Jaylen Wells produces more: 29.4 fantasy points to 28.4, on 26.4 minutes a night against 27.5. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Jaylen Wells plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Kris Dunn 3. For that week alone, start Kris Dunn: 65.0 projected fantasy points to 64.7 for Jaylen Wells.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Jaylen Wells | Kris Dunn |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 21.6 | 21.7 |
| Minutes | 26.4 | 27.5 |
| PointsPTS | 12.8 | 7.2 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.3 | 3.4 |
| AssistsAST | 1.6 | 3.9 |
| StealsSTL | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 1.9 | 1.0 |
| Field goal %FG% | 44.2% | 47.4% |
| Free throw %FT% | 73.3% | 73.4% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 69 | 82 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Jaylen Wells | Kris Dunn |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 29.4 | 28.4 |
| Points | 17.4 | 9.5 |
| Rebounds | 4.6 | 4.5 |
| Assists | 2.2 | 5.1 |
| Steals | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| Blocks | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Threes | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| Turnovers | 1.4 | 1.9 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Jaylen Wells | Kris Dunn |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.6 | -1.6 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.1 | -1.0 |
| AssistsAST | -1.0 | +0.1 |
| StealsSTL | -0.0 | +1.8 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.2 | -0.9 |
| Threes3PM | +0.3 | -0.6 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.7 | -0.1 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.5 | -0.2 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.1 | +0.5 |
| Total | -3.8 | -1.9 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
No punt changes the answer: Kris Dunn stays ahead whichever category you give up.
| Punt | Jaylen Wells | Kris Dunn |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -3.2 (#230) | -0.3 (#75) |
| REB | -2.9 (#188) | -0.9 (#90) |
| AST | -2.9 (#193) | -2.1 (#151) |
| STL | -3.9 (#228) | -3.8 (#224) |
| BLK | -2.8 (#161) | -1.2 (#97) |
| 3PM | -4.2 (#233) | -1.3 (#110) |
| FG% | -3.4 (#172) | -2.0 (#122) |
| FT% | -3.3 (#187) | -1.7 (#123) |
| TO | -4.9 (#209) | -2.5 (#127) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Jaylen Wells: 3 games (Wed UTA, Fri @GSW, Sun @SAC).
- Kris Dunn: 3 games (Wed SAC, Fri @LAL, Sun @OKC).
Recent games
- Jaylen Wells: 27.6 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 21.6 on the board.
- Kris Dunn: 29.9 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 21.7 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Jaylen Wells playing tonight? · Is Kris Dunn playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jaylen Wells or Kris Dunn?
Points leagues: Kris Dunn. 21.7 fantasy points per game against 21.6, 175th on our board to 176th. 9-cat leagues: Kris Dunn again, -1.9 in summed z-scores against -3.8 (124th to 200th).
Who wins more categories, Jaylen Wells or Kris Dunn?
Category by category, Jaylen Wells is ahead in 3 (PTS, 3PM and TO) and Kris Dunn in 5 (AST, STL, BLK, FG% and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Jaylen Wells or Kris Dunn?
Jaylen Wells plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Kris Dunn 3. For that week alone, start Kris Dunn: 65.0 projected fantasy points to 64.7 for Jaylen Wells.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 10:27 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number