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Joel Embiid vs Michael Porter Jr.: who to start in Week 1

Joel Embiid plays 4 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Michael Porter Jr. 3. For that week alone, start Joel Embiid: 175.5 projected fantasy points to 116.8 for Michael Porter Jr.. Over the season, Joel Embiid leads in both formats: 43.9 fantasy points a game to 38.9, and 23rd against 25th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 10:27 AM ET.

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Joel Embiid
CPHIage 32
Points leagues
#13
43.9 FP/G, slot 2.01, $32
9-cat leagues
#23
+2.6 z, slot 2.11, $30

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Michael Porter Jr.
SFPFBKNage 28
Points leagues
#33
38.9 FP/G, slot 3.09, $25
9-cat leagues
#25
+2.4 z, slot 3.01, $29

The call

Points leagues: Joel Embiid. 43.9 fantasy points per game against 38.9, 13th on our board to 33rd.

9-cat leagues: Joel Embiid again, +2.6 in summed z-scores against +2.4 (23rd to 25th).

Category by category, Joel Embiid is ahead in 6 (PTS, REB, AST, BLK, FG% and FT%) and Michael Porter Jr. in 3 (STL, 3PM and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Joel Embiid produces more: 49.5 fantasy points to 43.0, on 31.9 minutes a night against 32.6. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Joel Embiid plays 4 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Michael Porter Jr. 3. For that week alone, start Joel Embiid: 175.5 projected fantasy points to 116.8 for Michael Porter Jr..

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameJoel EmbiidMichael Porter Jr.
Fantasy points per game43.938.9
Minutes31.932.6
PointsPTS25.924.3
ReboundsREB7.97.1
AssistsAST3.92.9
StealsSTL0.61.2
BlocksBLK1.20.2
Threes3PM1.43.5
Field goal %FG%47.9%46.4%
Free throw %FT%84.6%84.8%
TurnoversTO2.82.5
Games, 2025-263852

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Joel EmbiidMichael Porter Jr.
Fantasy points49.543.0
Points29.226.9
Rebounds8.97.8
Assists4.43.2
Steals0.71.3
Blocks1.40.3
Threes1.63.9
Turnovers3.22.7

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJoel EmbiidMichael Porter Jr.
PointsPTS+1.7+1.4
ReboundsREB+1.0+0.6
AssistsAST+0.2-0.3
StealsSTL-1.1+0.4
BlocksBLK+1.2-0.9
Threes3PM-0.2+1.9
Field goal percentageFG%-0.2-0.7
Free throw percentageFT%+1.4+0.7
TurnoversTO-1.2-0.7
Total+2.6+2.4

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, assists, blocks, field goal percentage and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Michael Porter Jr..

PuntJoel EmbiidMichael Porter Jr.
PTS+0.9 (#35)+0.9 (#36)
REB+1.5 (#30)+1.9 (#25)
AST+2.3 (#21)+2.6 (#18)
STL+3.6 (#11)+1.9 (#25)
BLK+1.3 (#33)+3.3 (#16)
3PM+2.7 (#17)+0.3 (#54)
FG%+2.7 (#23)+3.3 (#20)
FT%+1.1 (#36)+1.5 (#33)
TO+3.7 (#17)+3.1 (#23)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Joel Embiid: 4 games (Tue @NYK, Thu CLE, Sat MIL, Sun DET), 1 back-to-back.
  • Michael Porter Jr.: 3 games (Wed CHA, Sat @CLE, Sun IND), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Joel Embiid: 39.5 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 43.9 on the board.
  • Michael Porter Jr.: 40.9 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 38.9 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Joel Embiid playing tonight? · Is Michael Porter Jr. playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Joel Embiid

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Joel Embiid or Michael Porter Jr.?

    Points leagues: Joel Embiid. 43.9 fantasy points per game against 38.9, 13th on our board to 33rd. 9-cat leagues: Joel Embiid again, +2.6 in summed z-scores against +2.4 (23rd to 25th).

  • Who wins more categories, Joel Embiid or Michael Porter Jr.?

    Category by category, Joel Embiid is ahead in 6 (PTS, REB, AST, BLK, FG% and FT%) and Michael Porter Jr. in 3 (STL, 3PM and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Joel Embiid or Michael Porter Jr.?

    Joel Embiid plays 4 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Michael Porter Jr. 3. For that week alone, start Joel Embiid: 175.5 projected fantasy points to 116.8 for Michael Porter Jr..

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 10:27 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number