Keldon Johnson vs Obi Toppin: who to start in Week 2
Keldon Johnson plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Obi Toppin 4. For that week alone, start Obi Toppin: 88.1 projected fantasy points to 66.3 for Keldon Johnson. Over the season, Keldon Johnson leads in points leagues (22.1 fantasy points a game to 22.0) and Obi Toppin in 9-cat leagues (145th against 177th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 28, 2:33 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #166
- 22.1 FP/G, slot 14.10
- 9-cat leagues
- #177
- -3.2 z, slot 15.09
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #167
- 22.0 FP/G, slot 14.11
- 9-cat leagues
- #145
- -2.3 z, slot 13.01, $2
Day to day (Hand)
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Keldon Johnson. 22.1 fantasy points per game against 22.0, 166th on our board to 167th.
9-cat leagues: Obi Toppin instead, -2.3 in summed z-scores against -3.2 (145th to 177th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Keldon Johnson is ahead in 4 (REB, STL, FG% and TO) and Obi Toppin in 4 (AST, BLK, 3PM and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Obi Toppin produces more: 42.1 fantasy points to 34.6, on 18.8 minutes a night against 23.0. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Keldon Johnson plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Obi Toppin 4. For that week alone, start Obi Toppin: 88.1 projected fantasy points to 66.3 for Keldon Johnson.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Keldon Johnson | Obi Toppin |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 22.1 | 22.0 |
| Minutes | 23.0 | 18.8 |
| PointsPTS | 12.5 | 12.5 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.3 | 4.5 |
| AssistsAST | 1.3 | 2.1 |
| StealsSTL | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Threes3PM | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| Field goal %FG% | 51.9% | 51.4% |
| Free throw %FT% | 78.6% | 89.9% |
| TurnoversTO | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 82 | 24 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Keldon Johnson | Obi Toppin |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 34.6 | 42.1 |
| Points | 19.5 | 23.9 |
| Rebounds | 8.3 | 8.7 |
| Assists | 2.1 | 4.1 |
| Steals | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Threes | 1.6 | 3.3 |
| Turnovers | 1.3 | 2.0 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Keldon Johnson | Obi Toppin |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.7 | -0.7 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.2 | -0.5 |
| AssistsAST | -1.1 | -0.7 |
| StealsSTL | -1.1 | -1.4 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.2 | -1.1 |
| Threes3PM | -0.7 | +0.1 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +0.6 | +0.5 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.1 | +0.6 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.3 | +1.1 |
| Total | -3.2 | -2.3 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
No punt changes the answer: Obi Toppin stays ahead whichever category you give up.
| Punt | Keldon Johnson | Obi Toppin |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -2.6 (#200) | -1.6 (#146) |
| REB | -3.2 (#200) | -1.8 (#123) |
| AST | -2.1 (#157) | -1.6 (#129) |
| STL | -2.2 (#150) | -1.0 (#92) |
| BLK | -2.3 (#141) | -1.3 (#102) |
| 3PM | -2.6 (#172) | -2.5 (#164) |
| FG% | -4.1 (#211) | -2.7 (#151) |
| FT% | -3.2 (#187) | -2.9 (#174) |
| TO | -4.7 (#193) | -3.5 (#153) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)
- Keldon Johnson: 3 games (Tue SAC, Wed @UTA, Sat MIN), 1 back-to-back.
- Obi Toppin: 4 games (Mon @MIL, Wed PHI, Fri @MIA, Sun BKN), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.
Recent games
- Keldon Johnson: 19.1 fantasy points a game over his last 4 of 2026-27, against 22.1 on the board.
- Obi Toppin: 26.5 fantasy points a game over his last 4 of 2026-27, against 22.0 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Keldon Johnson playing tonight? · Is Obi Toppin playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Keldon Johnson or Obi Toppin?
Points leagues: Keldon Johnson. 22.1 fantasy points per game against 22.0, 166th on our board to 167th. 9-cat leagues: Obi Toppin instead, -2.3 in summed z-scores against -3.2 (145th to 177th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Keldon Johnson or Obi Toppin?
Category by category, Keldon Johnson is ahead in 4 (REB, STL, FG% and TO) and Obi Toppin in 4 (AST, BLK, 3PM and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 2, Keldon Johnson or Obi Toppin?
Keldon Johnson plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Obi Toppin 4. For that week alone, start Obi Toppin: 88.1 projected fantasy points to 66.3 for Keldon Johnson.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 28, 2026 at 2:33 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number