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Obi Toppin vs Pelle Larsson: who to start in Week 2

Obi Toppin plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Pelle Larsson 3. For that week alone, start Obi Toppin: 86.9 projected fantasy points to 65.2 for Pelle Larsson. Over the season, Obi Toppin leads in both formats: 21.7 fantasy points a game to 21.7, and 150th against 198th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 26, 2:30 PM ET.

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Obi Toppin
PFSFINDage 28
Points leagues
#173
21.7 FP/G, slot 15.05
9-cat leagues
#150
-2.4 z, slot 13.06, $2

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Pelle Larsson
SFSGMIAage 25
Points leagues
#174
21.7 FP/G, slot 15.06
9-cat leagues
#198
-3.7 z, slot 17.06

The call

Points leagues: Obi Toppin. 21.7 fantasy points per game against 21.7, 173rd on our board to 174th.

9-cat leagues: Obi Toppin again, -2.4 in summed z-scores against -3.7 (150th to 198th).

Category by category, Obi Toppin is ahead in 6 (PTS, REB, 3PM, FG%, FT% and TO) and Pelle Larsson in 3 (AST, STL and BLK).

Per 36 minutes, Obi Toppin produces more: 42.0 fantasy points to 29.0, on 18.6 minutes a night against 27.0. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Obi Toppin plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Pelle Larsson 3. For that week alone, start Obi Toppin: 86.9 projected fantasy points to 65.2 for Pelle Larsson.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameObi ToppinPelle Larsson
Fantasy points per game21.721.7
Minutes18.627.0
PointsPTS12.410.9
ReboundsREB4.53.6
AssistsAST2.13.3
StealsSTL0.50.8
BlocksBLK0.10.2
Threes3PM1.70.8
Field goal %FG%51.8%47.4%
Free throw %FT%89.9%83.1%
TurnoversTO1.11.4
Games, 2025-262470

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Obi ToppinPelle Larsson
Fantasy points42.029.0
Points24.014.5
Rebounds8.64.8
Assists4.14.4
Steals1.01.0
Blocks0.20.3
Threes3.31.1
Turnovers2.11.8

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryObi ToppinPelle Larsson
PointsPTS-0.7-1.0
ReboundsREB-0.5-0.9
AssistsAST-0.7-0.1
StealsSTL-1.3-0.8
BlocksBLK-1.2-0.9
Threes3PM+0.1-0.9
Field goal percentageFG%+0.5-0.1
Free throw percentageFT%+0.6+0.3
TurnoversTO+1.0+0.6
Total-2.4-3.7

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

No punt changes the answer: Obi Toppin stays ahead whichever category you give up.

PuntObi ToppinPelle Larsson
PTS-1.7 (#153)-2.7 (#202)
REB-1.8 (#128)-2.9 (#182)
AST-1.7 (#132)-3.6 (#218)
STL-1.1 (#104)-3.0 (#186)
BLK-1.3 (#101)-3.0 (#166)
3PM-2.5 (#169)-2.9 (#182)
FG%-2.9 (#158)-3.8 (#199)
FT%-3.1 (#184)-4.1 (#214)
TO-3.4 (#157)-4.4 (#191)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)

  • Obi Toppin: 4 games (Mon @MIL, Wed PHI, Fri @MIA, Sun BKN), 1 back-to-back.
  • Pelle Larsson: 3 games (Mon DAL, Wed @ATL, Fri IND).

Every team's games this week · Week 2 streamers

Recent games

  • Obi Toppin: 26.3 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 21.7 on the board.
  • Pelle Larsson: 20.3 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 21.7 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Obi Toppin playing tonight? · Is Pelle Larsson playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Pelle Larsson

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Obi Toppin or Pelle Larsson?

    Points leagues: Obi Toppin. 21.7 fantasy points per game against 21.7, 173rd on our board to 174th. 9-cat leagues: Obi Toppin again, -2.4 in summed z-scores against -3.7 (150th to 198th).

  • Who wins more categories, Obi Toppin or Pelle Larsson?

    Category by category, Obi Toppin is ahead in 6 (PTS, REB, 3PM, FG%, FT% and TO) and Pelle Larsson in 3 (AST, STL and BLK).

  • Who should I start in Week 2, Obi Toppin or Pelle Larsson?

    Obi Toppin plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Pelle Larsson 3. For that week alone, start Obi Toppin: 86.9 projected fantasy points to 65.2 for Pelle Larsson.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 26, 2026 at 2:30 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number