Al Horford vs Obi Toppin: who to start in Week 2
Al Horford plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Obi Toppin 4. For that week alone, start Obi Toppin: 86.9 projected fantasy points to 85.0 for Al Horford. Over the season, Obi Toppin leads in points leagues (21.7 fantasy points a game to 21.3) and Al Horford in 9-cat leagues (148th against 150th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 26, 2:30 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #183
- 21.3 FP/G, slot 16.03
- 9-cat leagues
- #148
- -2.3 z, slot 13.04, $2
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #173
- 21.7 FP/G, slot 15.05
- 9-cat leagues
- #150
- -2.4 z, slot 13.06, $2
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Obi Toppin. 21.7 fantasy points per game against 21.3, 173rd on our board to 183rd.
9-cat leagues: Al Horford instead, -2.3 in summed z-scores against -2.4 (148th to 150th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Al Horford is ahead in 5 (REB, AST, STL, BLK and TO) and Obi Toppin in 4 (PTS, 3PM, FG% and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Obi Toppin produces more: 42.0 fantasy points to 36.1, on 18.6 minutes a night against 21.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Al Horford plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Obi Toppin 4. For that week alone, start Obi Toppin: 86.9 projected fantasy points to 85.0 for Al Horford.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Al Horford | Obi Toppin |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 21.3 | 21.7 |
| Minutes | 21.2 | 18.6 |
| PointsPTS | 7.5 | 12.4 |
| ReboundsREB | 4.8 | 4.5 |
| AssistsAST | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| StealsSTL | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| BlocksBLK | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| Threes3PM | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| Field goal %FG% | 41.2% | 51.8% |
| Free throw %FT% | 84.6% | 89.9% |
| TurnoversTO | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 45 | 24 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Al Horford | Obi Toppin |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 36.1 | 42.0 |
| Points | 12.7 | 24.0 |
| Rebounds | 8.2 | 8.6 |
| Assists | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 1.9 | 0.2 |
| Threes | 2.6 | 3.3 |
| Turnovers | 1.5 | 2.1 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Al Horford | Obi Toppin |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.6 | -0.7 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.4 | -0.5 |
| AssistsAST | -0.6 | -0.7 |
| StealsSTL | -1.0 | -1.3 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.9 | -1.2 |
| Threes3PM | -0.2 | +0.1 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.8 | +0.5 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.1 | +0.6 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.2 | +1.0 |
| Total | -2.3 | -2.4 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds, assists, steals, blocks and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Obi Toppin.
| Punt | Al Horford | Obi Toppin |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -0.8 (#94) | -1.7 (#153) |
| REB | -2.1 (#143) | -1.8 (#128) |
| AST | -1.7 (#134) | -1.7 (#132) |
| STL | -1.4 (#118) | -1.1 (#104) |
| BLK | -3.5 (#194) | -1.3 (#101) |
| 3PM | -2.2 (#149) | -2.5 (#169) |
| FG% | -1.6 (#107) | -2.9 (#158) |
| FT% | -2.4 (#156) | -3.1 (#184) |
| TO | -3.7 (#165) | -3.4 (#157) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)
- Al Horford: 4 games (Mon @DEN, Wed @MIN, Fri LAL, Sun LAC).
- Obi Toppin: 4 games (Mon @MIL, Wed PHI, Fri @MIA, Sun BKN), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Al Horford: 12.4 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 21.3 on the board.
- Obi Toppin: 26.3 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 21.7 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Al Horford playing tonight? · Is Obi Toppin playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Al Horford or Obi Toppin?
Points leagues: Obi Toppin. 21.7 fantasy points per game against 21.3, 173rd on our board to 183rd. 9-cat leagues: Al Horford instead, -2.3 in summed z-scores against -2.4 (148th to 150th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Al Horford or Obi Toppin?
Category by category, Al Horford is ahead in 5 (REB, AST, STL, BLK and TO) and Obi Toppin in 4 (PTS, 3PM, FG% and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 2, Al Horford or Obi Toppin?
Al Horford plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Obi Toppin 4. For that week alone, start Obi Toppin: 86.9 projected fantasy points to 85.0 for Al Horford.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 26, 2026 at 2:30 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number