Kelly Oubre Jr. vs Matisse Thybulle: who to start in Week 1
Kelly Oubre Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Matisse Thybulle 3. For that week alone, start Kelly Oubre Jr.: 75.5 projected fantasy points to 49.8 for Matisse Thybulle. Over the season, Kelly Oubre Jr. leads in points leagues (25.2 fantasy points a game to 16.6) and Matisse Thybulle in 9-cat leagues (123rd against 126th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 24, 10:27 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #131
- 25.2 FP/G, slot 11.11, $5
- 9-cat leagues
- #126
- -2.0 z, slot 11.06, $4
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #254
- 16.6 FP/G, slot 22.02
- 9-cat leagues
- #123
- -1.9 z, slot 11.03, $5
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Kelly Oubre Jr.. 25.2 fantasy points per game against 16.6, 131st on our board to 254th.
9-cat leagues: Matisse Thybulle instead, -1.9 in summed z-scores against -2.0 (123rd to 126th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Kelly Oubre Jr. is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, AST and 3PM) and Matisse Thybulle in 5 (STL, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Matisse Thybulle produces more: 35.4 fantasy points to 29.7, on 16.9 minutes a night against 30.5. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Kelly Oubre Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Matisse Thybulle 3. For that week alone, start Kelly Oubre Jr.: 75.5 projected fantasy points to 49.8 for Matisse Thybulle.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Kelly Oubre Jr. | Matisse Thybulle |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 25.2 | 16.6 |
| Minutes | 30.5 | 16.9 |
| PointsPTS | 12.9 | 6.1 |
| ReboundsREB | 4.7 | 2.0 |
| AssistsAST | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| StealsSTL | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| Threes3PM | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Field goal %FG% | 44.4% | 44.3% |
| Free throw %FT% | 76.6% | 84.0% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 50 | 30 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Kelly Oubre Jr. | Matisse Thybulle |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 29.7 | 35.4 |
| Points | 15.2 | 12.9 |
| Rebounds | 5.5 | 4.2 |
| Assists | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 4.1 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| Threes | 1.9 | 2.8 |
| Turnovers | 1.5 | 1.9 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Kelly Oubre Jr. | Matisse Thybulle |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.6 | -1.8 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.5 | -1.7 |
| AssistsAST | -1.0 | -1.3 |
| StealsSTL | +0.8 | +2.5 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| Threes3PM | -0.0 | -0.3 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.7 | -0.3 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.2 | +0.1 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.7 | +1.2 |
| Total | -2.0 | -1.9 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting steals, blocks, field goal percentage, free throw percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Kelly Oubre Jr..
| Punt | Kelly Oubre Jr. | Matisse Thybulle |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.4 (#128) | -0.1 (#63) |
| REB | -1.6 (#123) | -0.2 (#66) |
| AST | -1.1 (#103) | -0.6 (#79) |
| STL | -2.8 (#178) | -4.4 (#269) |
| BLK | -1.7 (#121) | -1.8 (#123) |
| 3PM | -1.9 (#134) | -1.6 (#120) |
| FG% | -1.5 (#99) | -1.6 (#107) |
| FT% | -1.7 (#129) | -2.0 (#140) |
| TO | -2.8 (#132) | -3.2 (#148) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3 games (Wed @NOP, Fri DAL, Sun @BKN).
- Matisse Thybulle: 3 games (Wed GSW, Fri LAC, Sun @UTA).
Recent games
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: 13.6 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 25.2 on the board.
- Matisse Thybulle: 19.6 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 16.6 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Kelly Oubre Jr. playing tonight? · Is Matisse Thybulle playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Kelly Oubre Jr. or Matisse Thybulle?
Points leagues: Kelly Oubre Jr.. 25.2 fantasy points per game against 16.6, 131st on our board to 254th. 9-cat leagues: Matisse Thybulle instead, -1.9 in summed z-scores against -2.0 (123rd to 126th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Kelly Oubre Jr. or Matisse Thybulle?
Category by category, Kelly Oubre Jr. is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, AST and 3PM) and Matisse Thybulle in 5 (STL, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Kelly Oubre Jr. or Matisse Thybulle?
Kelly Oubre Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Matisse Thybulle 3. For that week alone, start Kelly Oubre Jr.: 75.5 projected fantasy points to 49.8 for Matisse Thybulle.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 10:27 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number