Kelly Oubre Jr. vs Pascal Siakam: who to start in Week 1
Kelly Oubre Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Pascal Siakam 3. For that week alone, start Pascal Siakam: 120.2 projected fantasy points to 78.0 for Kelly Oubre Jr.. Over the season, Pascal Siakam leads in points leagues (40.1 fantasy points a game to 26.0) and Kelly Oubre Jr. in 9-cat leagues (106th against 108th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 22, 9:54 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #128
- 26.0 FP/G, slot 11.08, $5
- 9-cat leagues
- #106
- -1.4 z, slot 9.10, $8
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #27
- 40.1 FP/G, slot 3.03, $26
- 9-cat leagues
- #108
- -1.5 z, slot 9.12, $7
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Pascal Siakam. 40.1 fantasy points per game against 26.0, 27th on our board to 128th.
9-cat leagues: Kelly Oubre Jr. instead, -1.4 in summed z-scores against -1.5 (106th to 108th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Kelly Oubre Jr. is ahead in 4 (STL, BLK, FT% and TO) and Pascal Siakam in 4 (PTS, REB, AST and FG%).
Per 36 minutes, Pascal Siakam produces more: 43.3 fantasy points to 30.0, on 33.3 minutes a night against 31.3. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.
Kelly Oubre Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Pascal Siakam 3. For that week alone, start Pascal Siakam: 120.2 projected fantasy points to 78.0 for Kelly Oubre Jr..
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Kelly Oubre Jr. | Pascal Siakam |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 26.0 | 40.1 |
| Minutes | 31.3 | 33.3 |
| PointsPTS | 13.5 | 24.3 |
| ReboundsREB | 4.8 | 6.7 |
| AssistsAST | 1.7 | 3.6 |
| StealsSTL | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Threes3PM | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Field goal %FG% | 46.5% | 49.0% |
| Free throw %FT% | 76.6% | 66.8% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 50 | 62 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Kelly Oubre Jr. | Pascal Siakam |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 30.0 | 43.3 |
| Points | 15.5 | 26.3 |
| Rebounds | 5.6 | 7.3 |
| Assists | 1.9 | 3.9 |
| Steals | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Threes | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| Turnovers | 1.6 | 2.4 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Kelly Oubre Jr. | Pascal Siakam |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.5 | +1.4 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.4 | +0.4 |
| AssistsAST | -1.0 | -0.0 |
| StealsSTL | +0.9 | +0.2 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.3 | -0.6 |
| Threes3PM | -0.0 | +0.0 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.4 | +0.1 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.3 | -2.5 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.6 | -0.5 |
| Total | -1.4 | -1.5 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting steals, blocks, free throw percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Pascal Siakam.
| Punt | Kelly Oubre Jr. | Pascal Siakam |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.0 (#102) | -2.9 (#211) |
| REB | -1.2 (#97) | -2.4 (#158) |
| AST | -0.5 (#75) | -1.6 (#124) |
| STL | -2.4 (#160) | -1.8 (#132) |
| BLK | -1.2 (#97) | -1.1 (#91) |
| 3PM | -1.4 (#110) | -1.5 (#114) |
| FG% | -1.3 (#96) | -2.4 (#134) |
| FT% | -1.2 (#101) | +0.9 (#40) |
| TO | -2.1 (#112) | -0.9 (#79) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3 games (Wed @NOP, Fri DAL, Sun @BKN).
- Pascal Siakam: 3 games (Wed @NOP, Fri DAL, Sun @BKN).
Recent games
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: 15.9 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 26.0 on the board.
- Pascal Siakam: 42.1 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 40.1 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Kelly Oubre Jr. playing tonight? · Is Pascal Siakam playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Pascal Siakam
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Kelly Oubre Jr. or Pascal Siakam?
Points leagues: Pascal Siakam. 40.1 fantasy points per game against 26.0, 27th on our board to 128th. 9-cat leagues: Kelly Oubre Jr. instead, -1.4 in summed z-scores against -1.5 (106th to 108th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Kelly Oubre Jr. or Pascal Siakam?
Category by category, Kelly Oubre Jr. is ahead in 4 (STL, BLK, FT% and TO) and Pascal Siakam in 4 (PTS, REB, AST and FG%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Kelly Oubre Jr. or Pascal Siakam?
Kelly Oubre Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Pascal Siakam 3. For that week alone, start Pascal Siakam: 120.2 projected fantasy points to 78.0 for Kelly Oubre Jr..
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 9:54 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number