Kevin Huerter vs Paul Reed: who to start in Week 1
Kevin Huerter plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Paul Reed 3, an even 61.2 projected fantasy points each. Over the season, Kevin Huerter leads in points leagues (20.4 fantasy points a game to 20.4) and Paul Reed in 9-cat leagues (159th against 189th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 24, 10:27 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #199
- 20.4 FP/G, slot 17.07
- 9-cat leagues
- #189
- -3.5 z, slot 16.09
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #200
- 20.4 FP/G, slot 17.08
- 9-cat leagues
- #159
- -2.5 z, slot 14.03
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Kevin Huerter. 20.4 fantasy points per game against 20.4, 199th on our board to 200th.
9-cat leagues: Paul Reed instead, -2.5 in summed z-scores against -3.5 (159th to 189th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Kevin Huerter is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Paul Reed in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Paul Reed produces more: 49.8 fantasy points to 33.3, on 14.8 minutes a night against 22.0. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Kevin Huerter plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Paul Reed 3, an even 61.2 projected fantasy points each.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Kevin Huerter | Paul Reed |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 20.4 | 20.4 |
| Minutes | 22.0 | 14.8 |
| PointsPTS | 9.3 | 8.3 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.6 | 5.0 |
| AssistsAST | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| StealsSTL | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Threes3PM | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| Field goal %FG% | 43.7% | 63.1% |
| Free throw %FT% | 77.5% | 69.9% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 69 | 65 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Kevin Huerter | Paul Reed |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 33.3 | 49.8 |
| Points | 15.2 | 20.3 |
| Rebounds | 5.9 | 12.2 |
| Assists | 4.1 | 3.4 |
| Steals | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| Blocks | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Threes | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Turnovers | 1.7 | 2.2 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Kevin Huerter | Paul Reed |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.2 | -1.4 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.0 | -0.3 |
| AssistsAST | -0.5 | -1.1 |
| StealsSTL | -0.4 | -0.5 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.4 | +0.3 |
| Threes3PM | -0.2 | -1.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.7 | +1.3 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.1 | -0.5 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.0 | +1.2 |
| Total | -3.5 | -2.5 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Kevin Huerter.
| Punt | Kevin Huerter | Paul Reed |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -2.3 (#188) | -1.1 (#117) |
| REB | -2.7 (#172) | -2.4 (#155) |
| AST | -3.0 (#197) | -1.4 (#120) |
| STL | -3.2 (#194) | -2.1 (#147) |
| BLK | -3.3 (#184) | -3.1 (#173) |
| 3PM | -3.3 (#195) | -1.1 (#99) |
| FG% | -3.1 (#158) | -4.4 (#223) |
| FT% | -3.5 (#196) | -1.9 (#139) |
| TO | -4.7 (#197) | -3.9 (#172) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Kevin Huerter: 3 games (Tue BOS, Fri @MIA, Sun @PHI).
- Paul Reed: 3 games (Tue BOS, Fri @MIA, Sun @PHI).
Recent games
- Kevin Huerter: 14.4 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 20.4 on the board.
- Paul Reed: 27.0 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 20.4 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Kevin Huerter playing tonight? · Is Paul Reed playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Kevin Huerter or Paul Reed?
Points leagues: Kevin Huerter. 20.4 fantasy points per game against 20.4, 199th on our board to 200th. 9-cat leagues: Paul Reed instead, -2.5 in summed z-scores against -3.5 (159th to 189th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Kevin Huerter or Paul Reed?
Category by category, Kevin Huerter is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Paul Reed in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Kevin Huerter or Paul Reed?
Kevin Huerter plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Paul Reed 3, an even 61.2 projected fantasy points each.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 10:27 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number