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Jerami Grant vs Paul Reed: who to start in Week 1

Jerami Grant plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Paul Reed 3. For that week alone, start Jerami Grant: 81.1 projected fantasy points to 61.2 for Paul Reed. Over the season, Jerami Grant leads in both formats: 27.0 fantasy points a game to 20.4, and 158th against 159th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 10:27 AM ET.

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Jerami Grant
PFSFMEMage 32
Points leagues
#114
27.0 FP/G, slot 10.06, $7
9-cat leagues
#158
-2.5 z, slot 14.02

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Paul Reed
CPFDETage 27
Points leagues
#200
20.4 FP/G, slot 17.08
9-cat leagues
#159
-2.5 z, slot 14.03

The call

Points leagues: Jerami Grant. 27.0 fantasy points per game against 20.4, 114th on our board to 200th.

9-cat leagues: Jerami Grant again, -2.5 in summed z-scores against -2.5 (158th to 159th).

Category by category, Jerami Grant is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%) and Paul Reed in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Paul Reed produces more: 49.8 fantasy points to 33.3, on 14.8 minutes a night against 29.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Jerami Grant plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Paul Reed 3. For that week alone, start Jerami Grant: 81.1 projected fantasy points to 61.2 for Paul Reed.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameJerami GrantPaul Reed
Fantasy points per game27.020.4
Minutes29.214.8
PointsPTS17.68.3
ReboundsREB3.25.0
AssistsAST2.21.4
StealsSTL0.80.8
BlocksBLK0.70.8
Threes3PM2.30.3
Field goal %FG%44.3%63.1%
Free throw %FT%81.7%69.9%
TurnoversTO2.10.9
Games, 2025-265765

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Jerami GrantPaul Reed
Fantasy points33.349.8
Points21.820.3
Rebounds3.912.2
Assists2.83.4
Steals0.92.0
Blocks0.82.0
Threes2.80.7
Turnovers2.62.2

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJerami GrantPaul Reed
PointsPTS+0.2-1.4
ReboundsREB-1.2-0.3
AssistsAST-0.7-1.1
StealsSTL-0.7-0.5
BlocksBLK-0.0+0.3
Threes3PM+0.7-1.4
Field goal percentageFG%-0.9+1.3
Free throw percentageFT%+0.4-0.5
TurnoversTO-0.3+1.2
Total-2.5-2.5

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting points, assists, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Paul Reed.

PuntJerami GrantPaul Reed
PTS-2.8 (#203)-1.1 (#117)
REB-1.5 (#120)-2.4 (#155)
AST-1.9 (#145)-1.4 (#120)
STL-1.9 (#140)-2.1 (#147)
BLK-2.7 (#154)-3.1 (#173)
3PM-3.2 (#193)-1.1 (#99)
FG%-1.8 (#113)-4.4 (#223)
FT%-2.9 (#177)-1.9 (#139)
TO-2.2 (#117)-3.9 (#172)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Jerami Grant: 3 games (Wed UTA, Fri @GSW, Sun @SAC).
  • Paul Reed: 3 games (Tue BOS, Fri @MIA, Sun @PHI).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Jerami Grant: 19.7 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 27.0 on the board.
  • Paul Reed: 27.0 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 20.4 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Jerami Grant playing tonight? · Is Paul Reed playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jerami Grant or Paul Reed?

    Points leagues: Jerami Grant. 27.0 fantasy points per game against 20.4, 114th on our board to 200th. 9-cat leagues: Jerami Grant again, -2.5 in summed z-scores against -2.5 (158th to 159th).

  • Who wins more categories, Jerami Grant or Paul Reed?

    Category by category, Jerami Grant is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%) and Paul Reed in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Jerami Grant or Paul Reed?

    Jerami Grant plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Paul Reed 3. For that week alone, start Jerami Grant: 81.1 projected fantasy points to 61.2 for Paul Reed.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 10:27 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number