Marcus Smart vs Mitchell Robinson: who to start in Week 3
Marcus Smart plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Mitchell Robinson 4. For that week alone, start Mitchell Robinson: 85.1 projected fantasy points to 63.3 for Marcus Smart. Over the season, Mitchell Robinson leads in points leagues (21.3 fantasy points a game to 21.1) and Marcus Smart in 9-cat leagues (166th against 201st). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 12:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #196
- 21.1 FP/G, slot 17.04
- 9-cat leagues
- #166
- -2.7 z, slot 14.10
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #195
- 21.3 FP/G, slot 17.03
- 9-cat leagues
- #201
- -3.7 z, slot 17.09
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Mitchell Robinson. 21.3 fantasy points per game against 21.1, 195th on our board to 196th.
9-cat leagues: Marcus Smart instead, -2.7 in summed z-scores against -3.7 (166th to 201st), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Marcus Smart is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Mitchell Robinson in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Mitchell Robinson produces more: 38.9 fantasy points to 27.3, on 19.7 minutes a night against 27.8. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Marcus Smart plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Mitchell Robinson 4. For that week alone, start Mitchell Robinson: 85.1 projected fantasy points to 63.3 for Marcus Smart.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Marcus Smart | Mitchell Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 21.1 | 21.3 |
| Minutes | 27.8 | 19.7 |
| PointsPTS | 9.8 | 5.9 |
| ReboundsREB | 2.8 | 7.7 |
| AssistsAST | 2.9 | 0.8 |
| StealsSTL | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 1.1 |
| Threes3PM | 1.7 | 0.0 |
| Field goal %FG% | 42.9% | 74.8% |
| Free throw %FT% | 82.8% | 40.0% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 62 | 60 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Marcus Smart | Mitchell Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 27.3 | 38.9 |
| Points | 12.7 | 10.8 |
| Rebounds | 3.6 | 14.1 |
| Assists | 3.7 | 1.5 |
| Steals | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Threes | 2.2 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 2.1 | 1.3 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Marcus Smart | Mitchell Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.2 | -1.9 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.3 | +0.8 |
| AssistsAST | -0.4 | -1.5 |
| StealsSTL | +1.0 | -0.7 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.8 | +0.8 |
| Threes3PM | +0.0 | -1.7 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.6 | +1.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.2 | -2.5 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.5 | +1.5 |
| Total | -2.7 | -3.7 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting assists, steals, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Mitchell Robinson.
| Punt | Marcus Smart | Mitchell Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.6 (#143) | -1.9 (#164) |
| REB | -1.5 (#113) | -5.0 (#307) |
| AST | -2.4 (#167) | -2.4 (#166) |
| STL | -3.8 (#234) | -3.3 (#202) |
| BLK | -2.1 (#135) | -5.0 (#281) |
| 3PM | -2.7 (#179) | -1.8 (#137) |
| FG% | -2.2 (#133) | -6.1 (#308) |
| FT% | -2.9 (#183) | -1.2 (#102) |
| TO | -3.3 (#152) | -5.6 (#236) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 432 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Marcus Smart: 3 games (Mon BOS, Wed MIN, Sat @PHX).
- Mitchell Robinson: 4 games (Mon @HOU, Wed MIL, Fri @CHA, Sun @MIL), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Marcus Smart: 21.8 fantasy points a game over his last 5 of 2026-27, against 21.1 on the board.
- Mitchell Robinson: 14.3 fantasy points a game over his last 6 of 2026-27, against 21.3 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Marcus Smart playing tonight? · Is Mitchell Robinson playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Mitchell Robinson
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Marcus Smart or Mitchell Robinson?
Points leagues: Mitchell Robinson. 21.3 fantasy points per game against 21.1, 195th on our board to 196th. 9-cat leagues: Marcus Smart instead, -2.7 in summed z-scores against -3.7 (166th to 201st), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Marcus Smart or Mitchell Robinson?
Category by category, Marcus Smart is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Mitchell Robinson in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 3, Marcus Smart or Mitchell Robinson?
Marcus Smart plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Mitchell Robinson 4. For that week alone, start Mitchell Robinson: 85.1 projected fantasy points to 63.3 for Marcus Smart.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 12:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number