Collin Sexton vs Mitchell Robinson: who to start in Week 1
Collin Sexton plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Mitchell Robinson 2. For that week alone, start Collin Sexton: 74.4 projected fantasy points to 45.3 for Mitchell Robinson. Over the season, Collin Sexton leads in points leagues (24.8 fantasy points a game to 22.6) and Mitchell Robinson in 9-cat leagues (146th against 148th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 22, 1:54 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #138
- 24.8 FP/G, slot 12.06, $4
- 9-cat leagues
- #148
- -2.4 z, slot 13.04, $2
Day to day (Calf)
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #165
- 22.6 FP/G, slot 14.09
- 9-cat leagues
- #146
- -2.4 z, slot 13.02, $2
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Collin Sexton. 24.8 fantasy points per game against 22.6, 138th on our board to 165th.
9-cat leagues: Mitchell Robinson instead, -2.4 in summed z-scores against -2.4 (146th to 148th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Collin Sexton is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Mitchell Robinson in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Mitchell Robinson produces more: 41.8 fantasy points to 37.6, on 19.5 minutes a night against 23.7. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Collin Sexton plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Mitchell Robinson 2. For that week alone, start Collin Sexton: 74.4 projected fantasy points to 45.3 for Mitchell Robinson.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Collin Sexton | Mitchell Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 24.8 | 22.6 |
| Minutes | 23.7 | 19.5 |
| PointsPTS | 15.4 | 5.6 |
| ReboundsREB | 2.3 | 8.4 |
| AssistsAST | 3.3 | 0.9 |
| StealsSTL | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.1 | 1.2 |
| Threes3PM | 1.6 | 0.0 |
| Field goal %FG% | 48.5% | 73.4% |
| Free throw %FT% | 85.5% | 37.8% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 68 | 60 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Collin Sexton | Mitchell Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 37.6 | 41.8 |
| Points | 23.4 | 10.3 |
| Rebounds | 3.5 | 15.5 |
| Assists | 5.0 | 1.6 |
| Steals | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Blocks | 0.2 | 2.3 |
| Threes | 2.5 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 3.1 | 1.4 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Collin Sexton | Mitchell Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.2 | -1.9 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.6 | +1.2 |
| AssistsAST | -0.2 | -1.4 |
| StealsSTL | +0.3 | -0.2 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.1 | +1.1 |
| Threes3PM | +0.0 | -1.7 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.0 | +1.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.7 | -2.3 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.3 | +1.4 |
| Total | -2.4 | -2.4 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Collin Sexton.
| Punt | Collin Sexton | Mitchell Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -2.3 (#178) | -0.5 (#81) |
| REB | -0.9 (#85) | -4.1 (#256) |
| AST | -2.3 (#169) | -0.9 (#96) |
| STL | -2.8 (#177) | -2.2 (#155) |
| BLK | -1.4 (#106) | -4.0 (#227) |
| 3PM | -2.5 (#159) | -0.6 (#80) |
| FG% | -2.5 (#137) | -4.7 (#240) |
| FT% | -3.2 (#179) | -0.0 (#65) |
| TO | -2.2 (#115) | -3.9 (#174) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Collin Sexton: 3 games (Wed GSW, Fri LAC, Sun @UTA), listed DTD.
- Mitchell Robinson: 2 games (Tue @DET, Fri NYK).
Recent games
- Collin Sexton: 32.7 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 24.8 on the board.
- Mitchell Robinson: 16.1 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 22.6 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Collin Sexton playing tonight? · Is Mitchell Robinson playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Mitchell Robinson
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Collin Sexton or Mitchell Robinson?
Points leagues: Collin Sexton. 24.8 fantasy points per game against 22.6, 138th on our board to 165th. 9-cat leagues: Mitchell Robinson instead, -2.4 in summed z-scores against -2.4 (146th to 148th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Collin Sexton or Mitchell Robinson?
Category by category, Collin Sexton is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Mitchell Robinson in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Collin Sexton or Mitchell Robinson?
Collin Sexton plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Mitchell Robinson 2. For that week alone, start Collin Sexton: 74.4 projected fantasy points to 45.3 for Mitchell Robinson.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 1:54 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number