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Matas Buzelis vs P.J. Washington: who to start in Week 1

Matas Buzelis plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), P.J. Washington 3. For that week alone, start Matas Buzelis: 89.9 projected fantasy points to 89.1 for P.J. Washington. Over the season, Matas Buzelis leads in both formats: 30.0 fantasy points a game to 29.7, and 89th against 141st in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 8:26 AM ET.

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Matas Buzelis
PFSFCHIage 22
Points leagues
#80
30.0 FP/G, slot 7.08, $12
9-cat leagues
#89
-1.1 z, slot 8.05, $9

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

P.J. Washington
PFCSFDALage 28
Points leagues
#84
29.7 FP/G, slot 7.12, $11
9-cat leagues
#141
-2.2 z, slot 12.09, $3

The call

Points leagues: Matas Buzelis. 30.0 fantasy points per game against 29.7, 80th on our board to 84th.

9-cat leagues: Matas Buzelis again, -1.1 in summed z-scores against -2.2 (89th to 141st).

Category by category, Matas Buzelis is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, BLK, 3PM and FT%) and P.J. Washington in 4 (REB, STL, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Matas Buzelis produces more: 38.2 fantasy points to 34.4, on 28.2 minutes a night against 31.1. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Matas Buzelis plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), P.J. Washington 3. For that week alone, start Matas Buzelis: 89.9 projected fantasy points to 89.1 for P.J. Washington.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameMatas BuzelisP.J. Washington
Fantasy points per game30.029.7
Minutes28.231.1
PointsPTS15.814.3
ReboundsREB5.87.2
AssistsAST2.01.7
StealsSTL0.60.9
BlocksBLK1.51.2
Threes3PM2.01.4
Field goal %FG%44.4%45.5%
Free throw %FT%79.0%67.2%
TurnoversTO2.11.8
Games, 2025-267756

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Matas BuzelisP.J. Washington
Fantasy points38.234.4
Points20.116.5
Rebounds7.48.3
Assists2.51.9
Steals0.81.0
Blocks1.91.4
Threes2.51.7
Turnovers2.72.1

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryMatas BuzelisP.J. Washington
PointsPTS-0.1-0.4
ReboundsREB+0.0+0.7
AssistsAST-0.8-1.0
StealsSTL-1.1-0.4
BlocksBLK+1.7+1.0
Threes3PM+0.4-0.2
Field goal percentageFG%-0.8-0.6
Free throw percentageFT%-0.1-1.3
TurnoversTO-0.3+0.0
Total-1.1-2.2

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to P.J. Washington.

PuntMatas BuzelisP.J. Washington
PTS-1.0 (#110)-1.8 (#155)
REB-1.3 (#107)-3.2 (#203)
AST-0.4 (#66)-1.3 (#114)
STL-0.1 (#64)-1.8 (#132)
BLK-3.0 (#172)-3.6 (#199)
3PM-1.5 (#112)-1.9 (#133)
FG%-0.4 (#75)-2.2 (#131)
FT%-1.1 (#97)-0.8 (#87)
TO-0.8 (#74)-2.3 (#118)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Matas Buzelis: 3 games (Wed @TOR, Fri @MIL, Sat WAS), 1 back-to-back.
  • P.J. Washington: 3 games (Wed @HOU, Fri @IND, Sat SAS), 1 back-to-back.

Matas Buzelis or P.J. Washington: the Week 1 start/sit call

Recent games

  • Matas Buzelis: 22.9 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 30.0 on the board.
  • P.J. Washington: 29.7 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 29.7 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Matas Buzelis playing tonight? · Is P.J. Washington playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Matas Buzelis

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Matas Buzelis or P.J. Washington?

    Points leagues: Matas Buzelis. 30.0 fantasy points per game against 29.7, 80th on our board to 84th. 9-cat leagues: Matas Buzelis again, -1.1 in summed z-scores against -2.2 (89th to 141st).

  • Who wins more categories, Matas Buzelis or P.J. Washington?

    Category by category, Matas Buzelis is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, BLK, 3PM and FT%) and P.J. Washington in 4 (REB, STL, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Matas Buzelis or P.J. Washington?

    Matas Buzelis plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), P.J. Washington 3. For that week alone, start Matas Buzelis: 89.9 projected fantasy points to 89.1 for P.J. Washington.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 8:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number