Paul Reed vs T.J. McConnell: who to start in Week 2
Paul Reed plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), T.J. McConnell 4. For that week alone, start Paul Reed: 62.3 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for T.J. McConnell. Over the season, T.J. McConnell leads in points leagues (22.1 fantasy points a game to 20.8) and Paul Reed in 9-cat leagues (163rd against 164th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 27, 8:32 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
Parlae may earn a commission from price links.
- Points leagues
- #189
- 20.8 FP/G, slot 16.09
- 9-cat leagues
- #163
- -2.8 z, slot 14.07
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #163
- 22.1 FP/G, slot 14.07
- 9-cat leagues
- #164
- -2.8 z, slot 14.08
Out (Hamstring)
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: T.J. McConnell. 22.1 fantasy points per game against 20.8, 163rd on our board to 189th.
9-cat leagues: Paul Reed instead, -2.8 in summed z-scores against -2.8 (163rd to 164th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Paul Reed is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and T.J. McConnell in 4 (PTS, AST, STL and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Paul Reed produces more: 49.1 fantasy points to 46.3, on 15.2 minutes a night against 17.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Paul Reed plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), T.J. McConnell 4. For that week alone, start Paul Reed: 62.3 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for T.J. McConnell.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Advertisement
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Paul Reed | T.J. McConnell |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 20.8 | 22.1 |
| Minutes | 15.2 | 17.2 |
| PointsPTS | 8.3 | 9.4 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.2 | 2.2 |
| AssistsAST | 1.4 | 5.1 |
| StealsSTL | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Threes3PM | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Field goal %FG% | 61.5% | 53.8% |
| Free throw %FT% | 65.3% | 86.2% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 65 | 56 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Paul Reed | T.J. McConnell |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 49.1 | 46.3 |
| Points | 19.6 | 19.6 |
| Rebounds | 12.2 | 4.6 |
| Assists | 3.3 | 10.7 |
| Steals | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| Blocks | 2.2 | 0.4 |
| Threes | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| Turnovers | 2.4 | 2.4 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
Advertisement
9-category z-scores
| Category | Paul Reed | T.J. McConnell |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.4 | -1.2 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.2 | -1.6 |
| AssistsAST | -1.1 | +0.8 |
| StealsSTL | -0.7 | -0.1 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.5 | -1.0 |
| Threes3PM | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +1.3 | +0.8 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.8 | +0.1 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.1 | +0.9 |
| Total | -2.8 | -2.8 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to T.J. McConnell.
| Punt | Paul Reed | T.J. McConnell |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.4 (#129) | -1.6 (#148) |
| REB | -2.8 (#176) | -1.3 (#108) |
| AST | -1.6 (#134) | -3.7 (#225) |
| STL | -2.2 (#150) | -2.8 (#175) |
| BLK | -3.6 (#198) | -1.9 (#125) |
| 3PM | -1.3 (#101) | -1.5 (#117) |
| FG% | -4.6 (#228) | -3.9 (#197) |
| FT% | -2.0 (#136) | -2.9 (#175) |
| TO | -4.0 (#172) | -3.8 (#168) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)
- Paul Reed: 3 games (Tue @NYK, Wed CHA, Fri @BKN), 1 back-to-back.
- T.J. McConnell: 4 games (Mon @MIL, Wed PHI, Fri @MIA, Sun BKN), 1 back-to-back, listed Out.
Recent games
- Paul Reed: 26.8 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 20.8 on the board.
- T.J. McConnell: 24.5 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 22.1 on the board.
Advertisement
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Paul Reed playing tonight? · Is T.J. McConnell playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Paul Reed or T.J. McConnell?
Points leagues: T.J. McConnell. 22.1 fantasy points per game against 20.8, 163rd on our board to 189th. 9-cat leagues: Paul Reed instead, -2.8 in summed z-scores against -2.8 (163rd to 164th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Paul Reed or T.J. McConnell?
Category by category, Paul Reed is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and T.J. McConnell in 4 (PTS, AST, STL and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 2, Paul Reed or T.J. McConnell?
Paul Reed plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), T.J. McConnell 4. For that week alone, start Paul Reed: 62.3 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for T.J. McConnell.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 27, 2026 at 8:32 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number