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Royce O'Neale vs Steven Adams: who to start in Week 1

Royce O'Neale plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Steven Adams 3. For that week alone, start Royce O'Neale: 61.7 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Steven Adams. Over the season, Steven Adams leads in points leagues (20.6 fantasy points a game to 20.6) and Royce O'Neale in 9-cat leagues (152nd against 258th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 25, 8:28 AM ET.

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Royce O'Neale
PFSFCHAage 33
Points leagues
#197
20.6 FP/G, slot 17.05
9-cat leagues
#152
-2.4 z, slot 13.08, $1

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Steven Adams
CHOUage 33OUT
Points leagues
#196
20.6 FP/G, slot 17.04
9-cat leagues
#258
-4.9 z, slot 22.06

Out (Ankle)

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Steven Adams. 20.6 fantasy points per game against 20.6, 196th on our board to 197th.

9-cat leagues: Royce O'Neale instead, -2.4 in summed z-scores against -4.9 (152nd to 258th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Royce O'Neale is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Steven Adams in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Steven Adams produces more: 33.8 fantasy points to 28.3, on 21.9 minutes a night against 26.1. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Royce O'Neale plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Steven Adams 3. For that week alone, start Royce O'Neale: 61.7 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Steven Adams.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameRoyce O'NealeSteven Adams
Fantasy points per game20.620.6
Minutes26.121.9
PointsPTS9.05.7
ReboundsREB4.48.2
AssistsAST2.21.5
StealsSTL1.00.7
BlocksBLK0.40.6
Threes3PM2.50.0
Field goal %FG%41.7%51.8%
Free throw %FT%71.1%58.0%
TurnoversTO1.21.0
Games, 2025-267832

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Royce O'NealeSteven Adams
Fantasy points28.333.8
Points12.39.4
Rebounds6.013.5
Assists3.12.4
Steals1.41.2
Blocks0.51.0
Threes3.40.0
Turnovers1.61.7

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryRoyce O'NealeSteven Adams
PointsPTS-1.3-1.9
ReboundsREB-0.6+1.1
AssistsAST-0.7-1.1
StealsSTL-0.1-0.9
BlocksBLK-0.6-0.2
Threes3PM+0.9-1.7
Field goal percentageFG%-0.8+0.2
Free throw percentageFT%-0.1-1.6
TurnoversTO+0.9+1.0
Total-2.4-4.9

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting threes flips the 9-cat answer to Steven Adams.

PuntRoyce O'NealeSteven Adams
PTS-1.2 (#117)-3.1 (#222)
REB-1.9 (#130)-6.5 (#355)
AST-1.8 (#138)-3.9 (#234)
STL-2.5 (#161)-4.1 (#241)
BLK-2.0 (#135)-5.2 (#282)
3PM-3.3 (#195)-3.1 (#186)
FG%-1.6 (#106)-6.1 (#297)
FT%-2.4 (#151)-3.2 (#183)
TO-3.4 (#155)-6.2 (#254)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Royce O'Neale: 3 games (Wed @BKN, Fri ATL, Sat MIA), 1 back-to-back.
  • Steven Adams: 3 games (Wed DAL, Fri @SAS, Sat @ATL), 1 back-to-back, listed Out.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Royce O'Neale: 10.1 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 20.6 on the board.
  • Steven Adams: 10.9 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 20.6 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Royce O'Neale playing tonight? · Is Steven Adams playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Royce O'Neale or Steven Adams?

    Points leagues: Steven Adams. 20.6 fantasy points per game against 20.6, 196th on our board to 197th. 9-cat leagues: Royce O'Neale instead, -2.4 in summed z-scores against -4.9 (152nd to 258th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Royce O'Neale or Steven Adams?

    Category by category, Royce O'Neale is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Steven Adams in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Royce O'Neale or Steven Adams?

    Royce O'Neale plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Steven Adams 3. For that week alone, start Royce O'Neale: 61.7 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Steven Adams.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 25, 2026 at 8:28 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number