Trae Young vs Tyler Herro: who to start in Week 3
Trae Young plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Tyler Herro 4. For that week alone, start Trae Young: 140.4 projected fantasy points to 135.9 for Tyler Herro. Over the season, Trae Young leads in points leagues (35.1 fantasy points a game to 34.0) and Tyler Herro in 9-cat leagues (50th against 89th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 12:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #55
- 35.1 FP/G, slot 5.07, $18
- 9-cat leagues
- #89
- -0.9 z, slot 8.05, $10
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #60
- 34.0 FP/G, slot 5.12, $17
- 9-cat leagues
- #50
- +0.4 z, slot 5.02, $17
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Trae Young. 35.1 fantasy points per game against 34.0, 55th on our board to 60th.
9-cat leagues: Tyler Herro instead, +0.4 in summed z-scores against -0.9 (50th to 89th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Trae Young is ahead in 3 (AST, STL and FT%) and Tyler Herro in 6 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Trae Young produces more: 44.1 fantasy points to 39.4, on 28.7 minutes a night against 31.0. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Trae Young plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Tyler Herro 4. For that week alone, start Trae Young: 140.4 projected fantasy points to 135.9 for Tyler Herro.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Trae Young | Tyler Herro |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 35.1 | 34.0 |
| Minutes | 28.7 | 31.0 |
| PointsPTS | 18.7 | 20.9 |
| ReboundsREB | 2.5 | 4.8 |
| AssistsAST | 8.6 | 4.1 |
| StealsSTL | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| Field goal %FG% | 43.6% | 47.4% |
| Free throw %FT% | 83.8% | 85.6% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 15 | 33 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Trae Young | Tyler Herro |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 44.1 | 39.4 |
| Points | 23.5 | 24.3 |
| Rebounds | 3.1 | 5.6 |
| Assists | 10.8 | 4.8 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Blocks | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Threes | 2.3 | 3.3 |
| Turnovers | 3.3 | 2.4 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Trae Young | Tyler Herro |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +0.4 | +0.8 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.4 | -0.4 |
| AssistsAST | +2.4 | +0.2 |
| StealsSTL | -0.4 | -0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.1 | -0.8 |
| Threes3PM | +0.1 | +1.2 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.9 | -0.2 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.9 | +0.6 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.9 | -0.1 |
| Total | -0.9 | +0.4 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
No punt changes the answer: Tyler Herro stays ahead whichever category you give up.
| Punt | Trae Young | Tyler Herro |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.3 (#124) | -0.5 (#80) |
| REB | +0.5 (#46) | +0.8 (#36) |
| AST | -3.4 (#214) | +0.1 (#54) |
| STL | -0.5 (#71) | +1.1 (#37) |
| BLK | +0.2 (#55) | +1.0 (#37) |
| 3PM | -1.1 (#99) | -1.0 (#91) |
| FG% | -0.1 (#59) | +0.6 (#47) |
| FT% | -1.9 (#136) | -0.4 (#70) |
| TO | +0.0 (#65) | +0.4 (#54) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 432 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Trae Young: 4 games (Mon @ORL, Wed ATL, Fri @ATL, Sat @OKC), 1 back-to-back.
- Tyler Herro: 4 games (Mon @MIN, Wed @BOS, Fri TOR, Sun BOS).
Recent games
- Trae Young: 39.7 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 35.1 on the board.
- Tyler Herro: 35.4 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 34.0 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Trae Young playing tonight? · Is Tyler Herro playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Trae Young or Tyler Herro?
Points leagues: Trae Young. 35.1 fantasy points per game against 34.0, 55th on our board to 60th. 9-cat leagues: Tyler Herro instead, +0.4 in summed z-scores against -0.9 (50th to 89th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Trae Young or Tyler Herro?
Category by category, Trae Young is ahead in 3 (AST, STL and FT%) and Tyler Herro in 6 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 3, Trae Young or Tyler Herro?
Trae Young plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Tyler Herro 4. For that week alone, start Trae Young: 140.4 projected fantasy points to 135.9 for Tyler Herro.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 12:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number