Start Jared Goff or Baker Mayfield? Week 9
Updated Nov 4, 5:06 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 10 answer posts Tuesday.
Start Jared Goff over Baker Mayfield
- Market projects
- 18.2
- fantasy pts
- MIA D vs QB
- 20.6
- 4th most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 99%
- Through Week 8
- Market projects
- 15.6
- fantasy pts
- CHI D vs QB
- 19.7
- 8th most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 97%
- Through Week 8
Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Jared Goff?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Jared Goff projects 149 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 9 games), Baker Mayfield 128 (16.0 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Jared Goff over Baker Mayfield, 18.2 to 15.6 projected PPR points.
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Our Week 9 call
Start Jared Goff over Baker Mayfield in Week 9.
Market-based projections have Jared Goff at 18.2 points and Baker Mayfield at 15.6, a gap of 2.6. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Jared Goff at ADP 106 and Baker Mayfield at 133.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 15.6 fantasy points for Baker Mayfield, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market-based projection for Baker Mayfield is 214 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (13, 14 and 9 market sources).
Player markets imply 18.2 fantasy points for Jared Goff, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market-based projection for Jared Goff is 259 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (13, 13 and 13 market sources).
That puts Jared Goff 2.6 points ahead of Baker Mayfield on the market projections.
Week 9 matchups
Baker Mayfield and TB visit CHI on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.
CHI allowed 19.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 8th most in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 235 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against CHI, with 0.6 interceptions a game.
Jared Goff and DET visit MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
MIA allowed 20.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 4th most in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 231 yards and 2.3 touchdowns a game against MIA, with 0.6 interceptions a game.
By points allowed to the position, Jared Goff has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Baker Mayfield is not on the injury report.
Jared Goff is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 9
Through Week 8, Baker Mayfield played 97 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 134 times and threw an average of 8.4 air yards per attempt.
Baker Mayfield, Week 2 against CLE: 65 of 65 snaps, 21 of 34 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 29 yards.
Baker Mayfield, Week 3 against MIN: 65 of 69 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 6 yards.
Baker Mayfield, Week 7 against CAR: 57 of 63 snaps, 7 of 11 passes for 64 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.
Baker Mayfield, Week 8 against ATL: 60 of 60 snaps, 0 of 3 passes for 0 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 15 yards.
Through Week 8, Jared Goff played 99 percent of DET snaps, dropped back 269 times and threw an average of 7.7 air yards per attempt.
Jared Goff, Week 4 against CAR: 71 of 71 snaps, 32 of 52 passes for 412 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.
Jared Goff, Week 5 against ARI: 63 of 66 snaps, 19 of 30 passes for 271 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.
Jared Goff, Week 7 against GB: 68 of 68 snaps, 22 of 32 passes for 303 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 0 yards.
Jared Goff, Week 8 against MIN: 72 of 72 snaps, 18 of 25 passes for 176 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 2 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Baker Mayfield played 17 games for TB and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.
He completed 343 of 543 passes for 3693 yards, 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 55 times for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Jared Goff played 17 games for DET and scored 305.1 PPR points, 17.9 a game, finishing QB9.
He completed 393 of 578 passes for 4564 yards, 34 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 19 times for 45 yards and 0 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 9 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Jared Goff?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Jared Goff projects 149 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 9 games), Baker Mayfield 128 (16.0 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Jared Goff over Baker Mayfield, 18.2 to 15.6 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Jared Goff for Baker Mayfield?
No. Keep Jared Goff: he projects 149 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 9 games), Baker Mayfield 128 (16.0 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Jared Goff over Baker Mayfield, 18.2 to 15.6 projected PPR points.
Week 9 on the board
- Is Jared Goff playing Week 9?
- Is Baker Mayfield playing Week 9?
- Lions depth chart
- Buccaneers depth chart
- Week 9 QB rankings
- Week 9 fantasy rankings
- Week 9 start or sit
- Week 9 waiver wire
- Week 9 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 9
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 9 kicker rankings
- Week 9 defense rankings