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Start Matthew Stafford or Bo Nix? Week 9

Updated Nov 4, 9:56 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Matthew Stafford: Listed Questionable (Arm) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start

QB · LAR · at WAS · Questionable

Market projects
17.9
fantasy pts
WAS D vs QB
20.6
3rd most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
38 of 100 at QB
Snap share
98%
Through Week 8
Sit

QB · DEN · at CAR

Market projects
16.0
fantasy pts
CAR D vs QB
17.4
15th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
73 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Bo Nix for Matthew Stafford?

Not on these numbers alone. Bo Nix projects 129 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 8 games) and Matthew Stafford 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Matthew Stafford over Bo Nix, 17.9 to 16.0 projected PPR points. Matthew Stafford is listed questionable.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Matthew Stafford over Bo Nix in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Matthew Stafford at 17.9 points and Bo Nix at 16.0, a gap of 1.9. Matthew Stafford's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Matthew Stafford at ADP 75 and Bo Nix at 116.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 17.9 fantasy points for Matthew Stafford, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Matthew Stafford is 253 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (9, 9 and 9 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.0 fantasy points for Bo Nix, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Bo Nix is 211 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 15 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (13, 15, 12 and 13 market sources).

That puts Matthew Stafford 1.9 points ahead of Bo Nix on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

Matthew Stafford and LAR visit WAS on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

WAS allowed 20.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 258 yards and 2.1 touchdowns a game against WAS, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Bo Nix and DEN visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 17.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 220 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against CAR, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Matthew Stafford has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Matthew Stafford is listed as questionable with a arm injury.

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Matthew Stafford played 98 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 316 times and threw an average of 7.7 air yards per attempt.

Matthew Stafford, Week 5 against BUF: 82 of 82 snaps, 40 of 54 passes for 383 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Matthew Stafford, Week 6 against ARI: 58 of 58 snaps, 25 of 33 passes for 222 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Matthew Stafford, Week 7 against LV: 72 of 72 snaps, 23 of 29 passes for 195 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Matthew Stafford, Week 8 against LAC: 54 of 54 snaps, 17 of 25 passes for 157 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception.

Through Week 8, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 268 times and threw an average of 5.4 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 6 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 3 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 7 against ARI: 61 of 61 snaps, 15 of 29 passes for 222 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 75 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 8 against KC: 62 of 62 snaps, 20 of 32 passes for 222 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Matthew Stafford played 17 games for LAR and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.

He completed 388 of 597 passes for 4707 yards, 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Bo Nix for Matthew Stafford?

    Not on these numbers alone. Bo Nix projects 129 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 8 games) and Matthew Stafford 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Matthew Stafford over Bo Nix, 17.9 to 16.0 projected PPR points. Matthew Stafford is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Bo Nix?

    Not on these numbers alone. Matthew Stafford projects 129 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 8 games) and Bo Nix 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Matthew Stafford over Bo Nix, 17.9 to 16.0 projected PPR points. Matthew Stafford is listed questionable.

Should I drop Matthew Stafford?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board