Start Baker Mayfield or Tyler Shough? Week 9
Updated Nov 3, 12:11 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 10 answer posts Tuesday.
Start Baker Mayfield over Tyler Shough
Mayfield projects lower, 16.0 to 16.3, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 133 for Mayfield, 147 for Shough.
- Market projects
- 16.0
- recent weeks avg
- CHI D vs QB
- 19.9
- 10th most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 96%
- Through Week 8
- Market projects
- 16.3
- recent weeks avg
- CLE D vs QB
- 15.4
- 8th fewest to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 100%
- Through Week 7
Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Tyler Shough?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Shough projects 151 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 9 games), Baker Mayfield 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Baker Mayfield over Tyler Shough. So make the move after his Week 9 game.
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Our Week 9 call
Start Baker Mayfield over Tyler Shough in Week 9.
Market-based projections have Baker Mayfield at 16.0 points and Tyler Shough at 16.3, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Baker Mayfield still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 133 against 147, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Baker Mayfield this week yet, so his 16.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (16.0 and 16.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Tyler Shough this week yet, so his 16.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 7 (16.6 and 16.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.
What the market projects
No Week 9 player market is posted for Tyler Shough yet. His market-based projections were 16.6 and 16.0 points in Weeks 6 and 7, an average of 16.3, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.
No Week 9 player market is posted for Baker Mayfield yet. His market-based projections were 16.0 and 16.0 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 16.0, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.
That puts Tyler Shough 0.3 points ahead of Baker Mayfield on these projections.
Week 9 matchups
Tyler Shough and NO host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
CLE allowed 15.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 8th fewest in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 221 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against CLE, with 0.7 interceptions a game.
Baker Mayfield and TB visit CHI on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.
CHI allowed 19.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 10th most in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 241 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against CHI, with 0.6 interceptions a game.
By points allowed to the position, Baker Mayfield has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Tyler Shough is not on the injury report.
Baker Mayfield is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 9
Through Week 7, Tyler Shough played 100 percent of NO snaps, dropped back 296 times and threw an average of 7.3 air yards per attempt.
Tyler Shough, Week 4 against ATL: 74 of 74 snaps, 30 of 48 passes for 286 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards.
Tyler Shough, Week 5 against MIN: 45 of 45 snaps, 16 of 25 passes for 96 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.
Tyler Shough, Week 6 against NYG: 70 of 72 snaps, 16 of 30 passes for 144 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 33 yards.
Tyler Shough, Week 7 against PIT: 57 of 57 snaps, 30 of 38 passes for 278 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 3 carries for 7 yards.
Through Week 8, Baker Mayfield played 96 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 134 times and threw an average of 8.4 air yards per attempt.
Baker Mayfield, Week 2 against CLE: 65 of 65 snaps, 21 of 34 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 29 yards.
Baker Mayfield, Week 3 against MIN: 65 of 69 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 6 yards.
Baker Mayfield, Week 7 against CAR: 57 of 63 snaps, 7 of 11 passes for 64 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.
Baker Mayfield, Week 8 against ATL: 0 of 3 passes for 0 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 15 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Tyler Shough played 11 games for NO and scored 164.0 PPR points, 14.9 a game, finishing QB26.
He completed 221 of 327 passes for 2384 yards, 10 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 186 yards and 3 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Baker Mayfield played 17 games for TB and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.
He completed 343 of 543 passes for 3693 yards, 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 55 times for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 9 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Tyler Shough?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Shough projects 151 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 9 games), Baker Mayfield 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Baker Mayfield over Tyler Shough. So make the move after his Week 9 game.
Should I drop Tyler Shough for Baker Mayfield?
No. Keep Tyler Shough: he projects 151 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 9 games), Baker Mayfield 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Baker Mayfield over Tyler Shough.
Week 8 on the board
- Is Baker Mayfield playing Week 8?
- Is Tyler Shough playing Week 8?
- Buccaneers depth chart
- Saints depth chart
- Week 8 QB rankings
- Week 8 fantasy rankings
- Week 8 start or sit
- Week 9 waiver wire
- Week 9 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 8
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 8 kicker rankings
- Week 8 defense rankings