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Start Bo Nix or C.J. Stroud? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 9:36 AM ET.

Start C.J. Stroud over Bo Nix

Start

QB · HOU · at LAC

Market projects
17.1
fantasy pts
LAC D vs QB
14.3
8th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
40 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 7
Sit

QB · DEN · at CAR

Market projects
16.0
fantasy pts
CAR D vs QB
17.4
15th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
71 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Bo Nix for C.J. Stroud?

Yes, on the rest of the season. C.J. Stroud projects 152 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 9 games), Bo Nix 130 (16.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts C.J. Stroud over Bo Nix, 17.1 to 16.0 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 9 call

Start C.J. Stroud over Bo Nix in Week 9.

Market-based projections have C.J. Stroud at 17.1 points and Bo Nix at 16.0, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take C.J. Stroud at ADP 185 and Bo Nix at 116.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 17.1 fantasy points for C.J. Stroud, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for C.J. Stroud is 249 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 8 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (5, 5, 3 and 7 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.0 fantasy points for Bo Nix, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Bo Nix is 210 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 15 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (10, 12, 10 and 11 market sources).

That puts C.J. Stroud 1.1 points ahead of Bo Nix on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

C.J. Stroud and HOU visit LAC on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

LAC allowed 14.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 208 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against LAC, with 0.9 interceptions a game.

Bo Nix and DEN visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 17.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 220 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against CAR, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Bo Nix has the softer matchup.

Injury status

C.J. Stroud is not on the injury report.

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 7, C.J. Stroud played 100 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 266 times and threw an average of 9.3 air yards per attempt.

C.J. Stroud, Week 4 against DAL: 55 of 55 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 347 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 5 against TEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 26 of 34 passes for 261 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 7 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 6 against JAX: 63 of 63 snaps, 24 of 34 passes for 312 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 7 against NYG: 61 of 61 snaps, 17 of 28 passes for 153 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 4 yards.

Through Week 8, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 268 times and threw an average of 5.4 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 6 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 3 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 7 against ARI: 61 of 61 snaps, 15 of 29 passes for 222 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 75 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 8 against KC: 62 of 62 snaps, 20 of 32 passes for 222 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, C.J. Stroud played 14 games for HOU and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He completed 273 of 423 passes for 3041 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 48 times for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Bo Nix for C.J. Stroud?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. C.J. Stroud projects 152 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 9 games), Bo Nix 130 (16.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts C.J. Stroud over Bo Nix, 17.1 to 16.0 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Bo Nix?

    No. Keep C.J. Stroud: he projects 152 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 9 games), Bo Nix 130 (16.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts C.J. Stroud over Bo Nix, 17.1 to 16.0 projected PPR points.

Should I drop C.J. Stroud?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board