Start Brock Purdy or Geno Smith? Week 7

Updated Oct 22, 9:26 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Brock Purdy over Geno Smith

Start

Brock Purdy

QB · SF · at ATL

Market projects: 18.4; fantasy pts
ATL D vs QB: 18.7; 12th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: High; 94 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 98%; Through Week 6

Sit

Geno Smith

QB · NYJ · vs MIA

Market projects: 15.1; fantasy pts
MIA D vs QB: 19.4; 8th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 46 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Geno Smith for Brock Purdy?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Brock Purdy projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.5 a game over 10 games), Geno Smith 151 (15.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over Geno Smith, 18.4 to 15.1 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Brock Purdy over Geno Smith in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Brock Purdy at 18.4 points and Geno Smith at 15.1, a gap of 3.3.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.4 fantasy points for Brock Purdy, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Brock Purdy is 241 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 20 rushing yards and 0.3 rushing touchdowns (12, 14, 13 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 15.1 fantasy points for Geno Smith, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Geno Smith is 223 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 7 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (10, 12, 9 and 10 market sources).

That puts Brock Purdy 3.3 points ahead of Geno Smith on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Brock Purdy and SF visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 18.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 12th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 269 yards and 1.7 touchdowns a game against ATL, with 0.2 interceptions a game.

Geno Smith and NYJ host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 19.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 8th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 226 yards and 2.2 touchdowns a game against MIA, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Geno Smith has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Brock Purdy is not on the injury report.

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Brock Purdy played 98 percent of SF snaps, dropped back 190 times and threw an average of 8.0 air yards per attempt.

Brock Purdy, Week 3 against ARI: 54 of 54 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 297 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 35 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 4 against DEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 218 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 31 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 5 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 189 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 8 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 6 against WAS: 62 of 62 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 264 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 28 yards.

Through Week 6, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 204 times and threw an average of 7.1 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 3 against DET: 66 of 66 snaps, 31 of 37 passes for 321 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 4 against CHI: 32 of 32 snaps, 8 of 15 passes for 119 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Geno Smith, Week 5 against CLE: 70 of 70 snaps, 17 of 30 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 9 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 6 against NE: 62 of 62 snaps, 20 of 30 passes for 252 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brock Purdy played 9 games for SF and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He completed 197 of 284 passes for 2167 yards, 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 33 times for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Geno Smith for Brock Purdy?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Brock Purdy projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.5 a game over 10 games), Geno Smith 151 (15.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over Geno Smith, 18.4 to 15.1 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Brock Purdy for Geno Smith?
No. Keep Brock Purdy: he projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.5 a game over 10 games), Geno Smith 151 (15.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over Geno Smith, 18.4 to 15.1 projected PPR points.