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Start Joe Burrow or Brock Purdy? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 3:36 AM ET.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Madrid, set your lineup before then.

Start Joe Burrow over Brock Purdy

Start

Joe Burrow

QB · CIN · at ATL

Market projects
22.8
fantasy pts
ATL D vs QB
18.0
13th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
99%
Through Week 8
Sit

Brock Purdy

QB · SF · vs LV

Market projects
20.6
recent weeks avg
LV D vs QB
20.8
5th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
98%
Through Week 7

Should I drop Joe Burrow for Brock Purdy?

Not on these numbers alone. Joe Burrow projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games) and Brock Purdy 158 (17.5 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Joe Burrow over Brock Purdy.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Joe Burrow over Brock Purdy in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Joe Burrow at 22.8 points and Brock Purdy at 20.6, a gap of 2.2. Joe Burrow's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Brock Purdy this week yet, so his 20.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 7 (22.6 and 18.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Joe Burrow at ADP 55 and Brock Purdy at 86.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 22.8 fantasy points for Joe Burrow, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Joe Burrow is 272 passing yards, 2-3 passing touchdowns and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (5, 7 and 7 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Brock Purdy yet. His market-based projections were 22.6 and 18.5 points in Weeks 6 and 7, an average of 20.6, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Joe Burrow 2.2 points ahead of Brock Purdy on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Joe Burrow and CIN visit ATL on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

ATL allowed 18.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 13th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 271 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against ATL, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

Brock Purdy and SF host LV on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

LV allowed 20.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 5th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 245 yards and 2.3 touchdowns a game against LV, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Brock Purdy has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Joe Burrow is not on the injury report.

Brock Purdy is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Joe Burrow played 99 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 289 times and threw an average of 7.6 air yards per attempt.

Joe Burrow, Week 4 against JAX: 76 of 76 snaps, 39 of 54 passes for 428 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 6 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 5 against MIA: 65 of 65 snaps, 23 of 32 passes for 190 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 7 against BAL: 50 of 53 snaps, 22 of 30 passes for 292 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 8 against TEN: 38 of 48 passes for 462 yards, 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Through Week 7, Brock Purdy played 98 percent of SF snaps, dropped back 231 times and threw an average of 7.9 air yards per attempt.

Brock Purdy, Week 4 against DEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 218 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 31 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 5 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 189 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 8 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 6 against WAS: 62 of 62 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 264 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 28 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 7 against ATL: 66 of 66 snaps, 27 of 39 passes for 288 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Joe Burrow played 8 games for CIN and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He completed 173 of 259 passes for 1809 yards, 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran 14 times for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Brock Purdy played 9 games for SF and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He completed 197 of 284 passes for 2167 yards, 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 33 times for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Joe Burrow for Brock Purdy?

    Not on these numbers alone. Joe Burrow projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games) and Brock Purdy 158 (17.5 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Joe Burrow over Brock Purdy.

  • Should I drop Brock Purdy for Joe Burrow?

    Not on these numbers alone. Brock Purdy projects 158 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.5 a game over 9 games) and Joe Burrow 154 (17.1 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Joe Burrow over Brock Purdy.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board