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Start Joe Burrow or Drake Maye? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 3:36 AM ET.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Madrid, set your lineup before then.

Start

QB · CIN · at ATL

Market projects
22.8
fantasy pts
ATL D vs QB
18.0
13th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
99%
Through Week 8
Sit

QB · NE · vs GB

Market projects
18.5
fantasy pts
GB D vs QB
14.3
5th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
97%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Drake Maye for Joe Burrow?

Not on these numbers alone. Drake Maye projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games) and Joe Burrow 154 (17.1 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Joe Burrow over Drake Maye, 22.8 to 18.5 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Joe Burrow over Drake Maye in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Joe Burrow at 22.8 points and Drake Maye at 18.5, a gap of 4.3. Joe Burrow's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Joe Burrow at ADP 55 and Drake Maye at 50.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 22.8 fantasy points for Joe Burrow, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Joe Burrow is 272 passing yards, 2-3 passing touchdowns and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (5, 7 and 7 market sources).

Player markets imply 18.5 fantasy points for Drake Maye, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Drake Maye is 230 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 26 rushing yards and 0.3 rushing touchdowns (10, 11, 10 and 7 market sources).

That puts Joe Burrow 4.3 points ahead of Drake Maye on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

Joe Burrow and CIN visit ATL on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

ATL allowed 18.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 13th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 271 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against ATL, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

Drake Maye and NE host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

GB allowed 14.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 223 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against GB, with 1.3 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Joe Burrow has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Joe Burrow is not on the injury report.

Drake Maye is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Joe Burrow played 99 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 289 times and threw an average of 7.6 air yards per attempt.

Joe Burrow, Week 4 against JAX: 76 of 76 snaps, 39 of 54 passes for 428 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 6 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 5 against MIA: 65 of 65 snaps, 23 of 32 passes for 190 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 7 against BAL: 50 of 53 snaps, 22 of 30 passes for 292 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 8 against TEN: 38 of 48 passes for 462 yards, 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Through Week 8, Drake Maye played 97 percent of NE snaps, dropped back 275 times and threw an average of 8.9 air yards per attempt.

Drake Maye, Week 5 against LV: 75 of 75 snaps, 26 of 34 passes for 374 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 29 yards.

Drake Maye, Week 6 against NYJ: 68 of 68 snaps, 18 of 32 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 25 yards.

Drake Maye, Week 7 against CHI: 54 of 54 snaps, 24 of 30 passes for 321 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 26 yards.

Drake Maye, Week 8 against MIA: 16 of 20 passes for 199 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Joe Burrow played 8 games for CIN and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He completed 173 of 259 passes for 1809 yards, 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran 14 times for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Drake Maye played 17 games for NE and scored 360.0 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB2.

He completed 354 of 492 passes for 4394 yards, 31 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 103 times for 450 yards and 4 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Drake Maye for Joe Burrow?

    Not on these numbers alone. Drake Maye projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games) and Joe Burrow 154 (17.1 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Joe Burrow over Drake Maye, 22.8 to 18.5 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop Joe Burrow for Drake Maye?

    Not on these numbers alone. Joe Burrow projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games) and Drake Maye 148 (18.5 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Joe Burrow over Drake Maye, 22.8 to 18.5 projected PPR points.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board