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Start Joe Burrow or Dak Prescott? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 3:36 AM ET.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Madrid, set your lineup before then.

Start Joe Burrow over Dak Prescott

Start

Joe Burrow

QB · CIN · at ATL

Market projects
22.8
fantasy pts
ATL D vs QB
18.0
13th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
99%
Through Week 8
Sit

Dak Prescott

QB · DAL · at IND

Market projects
19.2
recent weeks avg
IND D vs QB
18.1
12th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Dak Prescott for Joe Burrow?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Joe Burrow projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Dak Prescott 146 (18.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Joe Burrow over Dak Prescott.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Joe Burrow over Dak Prescott in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Joe Burrow at 22.8 points and Dak Prescott at 19.2, a gap of 3.6. Joe Burrow's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Dak Prescott this week yet, so his 19.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (18.3, 17.4 and 21.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Joe Burrow at ADP 55 and Dak Prescott at 64.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 22.8 fantasy points for Joe Burrow, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Joe Burrow is 272 passing yards, 2-3 passing touchdowns and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (5, 7 and 7 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Dak Prescott yet. His market-based projections were 18.3, 17.4 and 21.9 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 19.2, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Joe Burrow 3.6 points ahead of Dak Prescott on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Joe Burrow and CIN visit ATL on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

ATL allowed 18.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 13th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 271 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against ATL, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

Dak Prescott and DAL visit IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 18.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 12th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 227 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against IND, with 0.3 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Dak Prescott has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Joe Burrow is not on the injury report.

Dak Prescott is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Joe Burrow played 99 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 289 times and threw an average of 7.6 air yards per attempt.

Joe Burrow, Week 4 against JAX: 76 of 76 snaps, 39 of 54 passes for 428 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 6 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 5 against MIA: 65 of 65 snaps, 23 of 32 passes for 190 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 7 against BAL: 50 of 53 snaps, 22 of 30 passes for 292 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 8 against TEN: 38 of 48 passes for 462 yards, 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Through Week 8, Dak Prescott played 100 percent of DAL snaps, dropped back 330 times and threw an average of 7.8 air yards per attempt.

Dak Prescott, Week 5 against TB: 60 of 60 snaps, 24 of 42 passes for 316 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions.

Dak Prescott, Week 6 against GB: 78 of 78 snaps, 34 of 54 passes for 258 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 7 against PHI: 68 of 68 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 212 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 8 against ARI: 19 of 29 passes for 195 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 21 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Joe Burrow played 8 games for CIN and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He completed 173 of 259 passes for 1809 yards, 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran 14 times for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Dak Prescott played 17 games for DAL and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.

He completed 404 of 600 passes for 4552 yards, 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 53 times for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Dak Prescott for Joe Burrow?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Joe Burrow projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Dak Prescott 146 (18.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Joe Burrow over Dak Prescott.

  • Should I drop Joe Burrow for Dak Prescott?

    No. Keep Joe Burrow: he projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Dak Prescott 146 (18.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Joe Burrow over Dak Prescott.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board