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Start Josh Allen or Brock Purdy? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 3:06 AM ET.

Start Josh Allen over Brock Purdy

Start

Josh Allen

QB · BUF · at MIN

Market projects
23.9
recent weeks avg
MIN D vs QB
8.8
fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8
Sit

Brock Purdy

QB · SF · vs LV

Market projects
20.6
recent weeks avg
LV D vs QB
20.8
5th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
98%
Through Week 7

Should I drop Brock Purdy for Josh Allen?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Allen projects 212 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (23.5 a game over 9 games), Brock Purdy 158 (17.5 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Josh Allen over Brock Purdy.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Josh Allen over Brock Purdy in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Josh Allen at 23.9 points and Brock Purdy at 20.6, a gap of 3.4. No player market is posted for Josh Allen this week yet, so his 23.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 8 (23.6 and 24.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Brock Purdy this week yet, so his 20.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 7 (22.6 and 18.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Josh Allen at ADP 31 and Brock Purdy at 86.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Josh Allen yet. His market-based projections were 23.6 and 24.3 points in Weeks 6 and 8, an average of 24.0, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Josh Allen is 0.9 touchdowns (5 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Brock Purdy yet. His market-based projections were 22.6 and 18.5 points in Weeks 6 and 7, an average of 20.6, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Josh Allen 3.4 points ahead of Brock Purdy on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Josh Allen and BUF visit MIN on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

MIN allowed 8.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 181 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against MIN, with 1.2 interceptions a game.

Brock Purdy and SF host LV on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

LV allowed 20.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 5th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 245 yards and 2.3 touchdowns a game against LV, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Brock Purdy has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Josh Allen is not on the injury report.

Brock Purdy is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Josh Allen played 100 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 237 times and threw an average of 9.0 air yards per attempt.

Josh Allen, Week 4 against NE: 59 of 59 snaps, 23 of 33 passes for 253 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 4 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 5 against LAR: 64 of 64 snaps, 12 of 19 passes for 210 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 10 carries for 121 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 6 against LV: 68 of 68 snaps, 23 of 33 passes for 255 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 4 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 8 against BAL: 21 of 34 passes for 289 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 7 carries for 30 yards.

Through Week 7, Brock Purdy played 98 percent of SF snaps, dropped back 231 times and threw an average of 7.9 air yards per attempt.

Brock Purdy, Week 4 against DEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 218 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 31 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 5 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 189 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 8 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 6 against WAS: 62 of 62 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 264 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 28 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 7 against ATL: 66 of 66 snaps, 27 of 39 passes for 288 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Josh Allen played 17 games for BUF and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He completed 319 of 460 passes for 3668 yards, 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 112 times for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Brock Purdy played 9 games for SF and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He completed 197 of 284 passes for 2167 yards, 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 33 times for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Brock Purdy for Josh Allen?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Allen projects 212 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (23.5 a game over 9 games), Brock Purdy 158 (17.5 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Josh Allen over Brock Purdy.

  • Should I drop Josh Allen for Brock Purdy?

    No. Keep Josh Allen: he projects 212 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (23.5 a game over 9 games), Brock Purdy 158 (17.5 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Josh Allen over Brock Purdy.

Week 8 on the board

Elsewhere on the board