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Start Caleb Williams or Josh Allen? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 4:51 AM ET.

Start Josh Allen over Caleb Williams

Start

Josh Allen

QB · BUF · at MIN

Market projects
23.9
recent weeks avg
MIN D vs QB
8.8
fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8
Sit

Caleb Williams

QB · CHI · vs TB

Market projects
18.0
recent weeks avg
TB D vs QB
14.7
6th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
97%
Through Week 7

Should I drop Caleb Williams for Josh Allen?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Allen projects 212 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (23.5 a game over 9 games), Caleb Williams 148 (18.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Josh Allen over Caleb Williams.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Josh Allen over Caleb Williams in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Josh Allen at 23.9 points and Caleb Williams at 18.0, a gap of 5.9. No player market is posted for Josh Allen this week yet, so his 23.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 8 (23.6 and 24.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Caleb Williams this week yet, so his 18.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (18.0, 18.5 and 17.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Josh Allen at ADP 31 and Caleb Williams at 87.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Josh Allen yet. His market-based projections were 23.6 and 24.3 points in Weeks 6 and 8, an average of 24.0, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Josh Allen is 0.9 touchdowns (5 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Caleb Williams yet. His market-based projections were 18.0, 18.5 and 17.6 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 18.0, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Josh Allen 5.9 points ahead of Caleb Williams on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Josh Allen and BUF visit MIN on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

MIN allowed 8.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 181 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against MIN, with 1.2 interceptions a game.

Caleb Williams and CHI host TB on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

TB allowed 14.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 234 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against TB, with 1.1 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Caleb Williams has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Josh Allen is not on the injury report.

Caleb Williams is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Josh Allen played 100 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 237 times and threw an average of 9.0 air yards per attempt.

Josh Allen, Week 4 against NE: 59 of 59 snaps, 23 of 33 passes for 253 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 4 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 5 against LAR: 64 of 64 snaps, 12 of 19 passes for 210 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 10 carries for 121 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 6 against LV: 68 of 68 snaps, 23 of 33 passes for 255 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 4 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 8 against BAL: 21 of 34 passes for 289 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 7 carries for 30 yards.

Through Week 7, Caleb Williams played 97 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 150 times and threw an average of 7.0 air yards per attempt.

Caleb Williams, Week 1 against CAR: 75 of 75 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 10 carries for 65 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 2 against MIN: 64 of 74 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 42 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 6 against ATL: 77 of 77 snaps, 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 4 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 7 against NE: 69 of 69 snaps, 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 19 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Josh Allen played 17 games for BUF and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He completed 319 of 460 passes for 3668 yards, 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 112 times for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Caleb Williams played 17 games for CHI and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He completed 330 of 568 passes for 3942 yards, 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 77 times for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Caleb Williams for Josh Allen?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Allen projects 212 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (23.5 a game over 9 games), Caleb Williams 148 (18.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Josh Allen over Caleb Williams.

  • Should I drop Josh Allen for Caleb Williams?

    No. Keep Josh Allen: he projects 212 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (23.5 a game over 9 games), Caleb Williams 148 (18.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Josh Allen over Caleb Williams.

Week 8 on the board

Elsewhere on the board