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Start Josh Allen or Dak Prescott? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 3:36 AM ET.

Start

QB · BUF · at MIN

Market projects
23.9
recent weeks avg
MIN D vs QB
8.8
fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8
Sit

QB · DAL · at IND

Market projects
19.2
recent weeks avg
IND D vs QB
18.1
12th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Dak Prescott for Josh Allen?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Allen projects 212 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (23.5 a game over 9 games), Dak Prescott 146 (18.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Josh Allen over Dak Prescott.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Josh Allen over Dak Prescott in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Josh Allen at 23.9 points and Dak Prescott at 19.2, a gap of 4.8. No player market is posted for Josh Allen this week yet, so his 23.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 8 (23.6 and 24.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Dak Prescott this week yet, so his 19.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (18.3, 17.4 and 21.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Josh Allen at ADP 31 and Dak Prescott at 64.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Josh Allen yet. His market-based projections were 23.6 and 24.3 points in Weeks 6 and 8, an average of 24.0, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Josh Allen is 0.9 touchdowns (5 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Dak Prescott yet. His market-based projections were 18.3, 17.4 and 21.9 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 19.2, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Josh Allen 4.8 points ahead of Dak Prescott on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Josh Allen and BUF visit MIN on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

MIN allowed 8.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 181 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against MIN, with 1.2 interceptions a game.

Dak Prescott and DAL visit IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 18.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 12th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 227 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against IND, with 0.3 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Dak Prescott has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Josh Allen is not on the injury report.

Dak Prescott is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Josh Allen played 100 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 237 times and threw an average of 9.0 air yards per attempt.

Josh Allen, Week 4 against NE: 59 of 59 snaps, 23 of 33 passes for 253 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 4 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 5 against LAR: 64 of 64 snaps, 12 of 19 passes for 210 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 10 carries for 121 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 6 against LV: 68 of 68 snaps, 23 of 33 passes for 255 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 4 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 8 against BAL: 21 of 34 passes for 289 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 7 carries for 30 yards.

Through Week 8, Dak Prescott played 100 percent of DAL snaps, dropped back 330 times and threw an average of 7.8 air yards per attempt.

Dak Prescott, Week 5 against TB: 60 of 60 snaps, 24 of 42 passes for 316 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions.

Dak Prescott, Week 6 against GB: 78 of 78 snaps, 34 of 54 passes for 258 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 7 against PHI: 68 of 68 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 212 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 8 against ARI: 19 of 29 passes for 195 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 21 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Josh Allen played 17 games for BUF and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He completed 319 of 460 passes for 3668 yards, 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 112 times for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Dak Prescott played 17 games for DAL and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.

He completed 404 of 600 passes for 4552 yards, 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 53 times for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Dak Prescott for Josh Allen?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Allen projects 212 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (23.5 a game over 9 games), Dak Prescott 146 (18.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Josh Allen over Dak Prescott.

  • Should I drop Josh Allen for Dak Prescott?

    No. Keep Josh Allen: he projects 212 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (23.5 a game over 9 games), Dak Prescott 146 (18.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Josh Allen over Dak Prescott.

Week 8 on the board

Elsewhere on the board