Start Brock Purdy or Matthew Stafford? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 9:21 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Brock Purdy over Matthew Stafford

Start

Brock Purdy

QB · SF · at ATL

Market projects: 18.4; fantasy pts
ATL D vs QB: 18.7; 12th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: High; 91 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 98%; Through Week 6

Sit

Matthew Stafford

QB · LAR · at LV

Market projects: 18.3; fantasy pts
LV D vs QB: 21.2; 6th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 63 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 98%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Brock Purdy?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Brock Purdy projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.5 a game over 10 games), Matthew Stafford 164 (16.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over Matthew Stafford, 18.4 to 18.3 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Brock Purdy over Matthew Stafford in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Brock Purdy at 18.4 points and Matthew Stafford at 18.3, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Matthew Stafford's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Brock Purdy at ADP 86 and Matthew Stafford at 75.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.4 fantasy points for Brock Purdy, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Brock Purdy is 241 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 20 rushing yards and 0.3 rushing touchdowns (12, 14, 12 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 18.3 fantasy points for Matthew Stafford, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Matthew Stafford is 271 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and under 0.1 rushing touchdowns (11, 14 and 13 market sources).

That puts Brock Purdy 0.1 points ahead of Matthew Stafford on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Brock Purdy and SF visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 18.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 12th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 269 yards and 1.7 touchdowns a game against ATL, with 0.2 interceptions a game.

Matthew Stafford and LAR visit LV on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

LV allowed 21.2 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 6th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 254 yards and 2.2 touchdowns a game against LV, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Matthew Stafford has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Brock Purdy is not on the injury report.

Matthew Stafford is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Brock Purdy played 98 percent of SF snaps, dropped back 190 times and threw an average of 8.0 air yards per attempt.

Brock Purdy, Week 3 against ARI: 54 of 54 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 297 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 35 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 4 against DEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 218 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 31 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 5 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 189 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 8 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 6 against WAS: 62 of 62 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 264 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 28 yards.

Through Week 6, Matthew Stafford played 98 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 260 times and threw an average of 8.3 air yards per attempt.

Matthew Stafford, Week 3 against DEN: 86 of 86 snaps, 30 of 53 passes for 390 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 13 yards.

Matthew Stafford, Week 4 against PHI: 84 of 84 snaps, 32 of 51 passes for 317 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards.

Matthew Stafford, Week 5 against BUF: 82 of 82 snaps, 40 of 54 passes for 383 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Matthew Stafford, Week 6 against ARI: 58 of 58 snaps, 25 of 33 passes for 222 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brock Purdy played 9 games for SF and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He completed 197 of 284 passes for 2167 yards, 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 33 times for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Matthew Stafford played 17 games for LAR and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.

He completed 388 of 597 passes for 4707 yards, 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Brock Purdy?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Brock Purdy projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.5 a game over 10 games), Matthew Stafford 164 (16.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over Matthew Stafford, 18.4 to 18.3 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Brock Purdy for Matthew Stafford?
No. Keep Brock Purdy: he projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.5 a game over 10 games), Matthew Stafford 164 (16.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over Matthew Stafford, 18.4 to 18.3 projected PPR points.