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Start Trevor Lawrence or Bryce Young? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 3:36 AM ET.

Start Trevor Lawrence over Bryce Young

Start

Trevor Lawrence

QB · JAX · at BAL

Market projects
17.1
fantasy pts
BAL D vs QB
17.3
16th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
97%
Through Week 8
Sit

Bryce Young

QB · CAR · vs DEN

Market projects
16.9
recent weeks avg
DEN D vs QB
16.1
12th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
95%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Bryce Young for Trevor Lawrence?

Not on these numbers alone. Bryce Young projects 152 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 9 games) and Trevor Lawrence 155 (17.2 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over Bryce Young.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Trevor Lawrence over Bryce Young in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Trevor Lawrence at 17.1 points and Bryce Young at 16.9, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Bryce Young this week yet, so his 16.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (16.3, 17.4 and 17.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Trevor Lawrence at ADP 97 and Bryce Young at 212.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 17.2 fantasy points for Trevor Lawrence, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Trevor Lawrence is 237 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 12 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (12, 14, 9 and 11 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Bryce Young yet. His market-based projections were 16.3, 17.4 and 17.0 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 16.9, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Trevor Lawrence 0.3 points ahead of Bryce Young on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Trevor Lawrence and JAX visit BAL on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

BAL allowed 17.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 16th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 235 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against BAL, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

Bryce Young and CAR host DEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DEN allowed 16.2 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 12th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 236 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against DEN, with an interception a game.

By points allowed to the position, Trevor Lawrence has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.

Bryce Young is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Trevor Lawrence played 97 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 219 times and threw an average of 8.3 air yards per attempt.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 4 against CIN: 61 of 61 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 227 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 5 against PHI: 72 of 72 snaps, 24 of 39 passes for 331 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 25 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 6 against HOU: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 41 passes for 306 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 8 against IND: 10 of 14 passes for 210 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Through Week 8, Bryce Young played 95 percent of CAR snaps, dropped back 296 times and threw an average of 8.1 air yards per attempt.

Bryce Young, Week 4 against DET: 75 of 75 snaps, 29 of 41 passes for 329 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 7 yards.

Bryce Young, Week 6 against PHI: 79 of 79 snaps, 20 of 39 passes for 281 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Bryce Young, Week 7 against TB: 43 of 56 snaps, 14 of 27 passes for 163 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 1 carry for 9 yards.

Bryce Young, Week 8 against GB: 73 of 73 snaps, 23 of 40 passes for 209 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Bryce Young played 16 games for CAR and scored 229.0 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing QB19.

He completed 304 of 478 passes for 3011 yards, 23 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 54 times for 216 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 96 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Bryce Young for Trevor Lawrence?

    Not on these numbers alone. Bryce Young projects 152 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 9 games) and Trevor Lawrence 155 (17.2 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over Bryce Young.

  • Should I drop Trevor Lawrence for Bryce Young?

    Not on these numbers alone. Trevor Lawrence projects 155 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 9 games) and Bryce Young 152 (16.9 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over Bryce Young.

Should I drop Bryce Young?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board