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Start Drake Maye or Trevor Lawrence? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 4:36 AM ET.

Start Drake Maye over Trevor Lawrence

Start

Drake Maye

QB · NE · vs GB

Market projects
18.5
fantasy pts
GB D vs QB
13.9
5th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
57 of 100 at QB
Snap share
98%
Through Week 8
Sit

Trevor Lawrence

QB · JAX · at BAL

Market projects
17.2
fantasy pts
BAL D vs QB
18.6
12th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
49 of 100 at QB
Snap share
95%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Drake Maye for Trevor Lawrence?

Not on these numbers alone. Drake Maye projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games) and Trevor Lawrence 155 (17.2 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Drake Maye over Trevor Lawrence, 18.5 to 17.2 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Drake Maye over Trevor Lawrence in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Drake Maye at 18.5 points and Trevor Lawrence at 17.2, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Drake Maye at ADP 50 and Trevor Lawrence at 97.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.5 fantasy points for Drake Maye, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Drake Maye is 229 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 26 rushing yards and 0.3 rushing touchdowns (10, 11, 10 and 7 market sources).

Player markets imply 17.2 fantasy points for Trevor Lawrence, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Trevor Lawrence is 238 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 12 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (12, 14, 9 and 11 market sources).

That puts Drake Maye 1.2 points ahead of Trevor Lawrence on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

Drake Maye and NE host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

GB allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 221 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against GB, with 1.3 interceptions a game.

Trevor Lawrence and JAX visit BAL on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

BAL allowed 18.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 12th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 242 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against BAL, with 0.5 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Trevor Lawrence has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Drake Maye is not on the injury report.

Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Drake Maye played 98 percent of NE snaps, dropped back 275 times and threw an average of 8.9 air yards per attempt.

Drake Maye, Week 5 against LV: 75 of 75 snaps, 26 of 34 passes for 374 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 29 yards.

Drake Maye, Week 6 against NYJ: 68 of 68 snaps, 18 of 32 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 25 yards.

Drake Maye, Week 7 against CHI: 54 of 54 snaps, 24 of 30 passes for 321 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 26 yards.

Drake Maye, Week 8 against MIA: 60 of 60 snaps, 16 of 20 passes for 199 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 7 yards.

Through Week 8, Trevor Lawrence played 95 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 219 times and threw an average of 8.3 air yards per attempt.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 4 against CIN: 61 of 61 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 227 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 5 against PHI: 72 of 72 snaps, 24 of 39 passes for 331 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 25 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 6 against HOU: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 41 passes for 306 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 8 against IND: 44 of 54 snaps, 10 of 14 passes for 210 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Drake Maye played 17 games for NE and scored 360.0 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB2.

He completed 354 of 492 passes for 4394 yards, 31 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 103 times for 450 yards and 4 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Drake Maye for Trevor Lawrence?

    Not on these numbers alone. Drake Maye projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games) and Trevor Lawrence 155 (17.2 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Drake Maye over Trevor Lawrence, 18.5 to 17.2 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop Trevor Lawrence for Drake Maye?

    Not on these numbers alone. Trevor Lawrence projects 155 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 9 games) and Drake Maye 148 (18.5 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Drake Maye over Trevor Lawrence, 18.5 to 17.2 projected PPR points.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board