Skip to main content

Trade Josh Jacobs for Justin Jefferson? Yes, Jefferson is worth 18 more.

Yes on value. Justin Jefferson is worth 63 rest of season and Josh Jacobs 45, so the side getting Jefferson gains 18. Jacobs rates 13.3 market points a game with 9 games left, Jefferson 15.4 with 10. On usage, Jacobs has 58 percent of GB carries and 17 percent of its targets; Jefferson has drawn 26 percent of MIN targets. Jacobs hosts CAR in Week 8 (2nd most points allowed to RBs); Jefferson is at DET in Week 8 (3rd most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 8

Getting Justin Jefferson wins by 18.

Josh Jacobs 4563 Justin Jefferson

Advertisement

Run this trade in the analyzer

Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.

In a dynasty league? Run it in the dynasty trade calculator.

See it against your lineup

Sync your league and the analyzer shows your best starting lineup before and after the deal. Free, no account.

Parlae may earn a commission from price links.

45

value, #36

Pts/game
13.3
Games left
9
Bye
11
Josh Jacobs weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
no projectionno projectionno projectionno projection11.315.4

63

value, #24

Pts/game
15.4
Games left
10
Bye
6
Justin Jefferson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
15.43.22.8no projection15.615.8

Where the values come from

Jacobs is the 16th running back on the chart and 36th overall. His 13.3 a game is 5.0 above the replacement running back's 8.3, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 45.

Jefferson is the 8th receiver on the chart and 24th overall. His 15.4 a game is 6.3 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 10 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 63.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Josh Jacobs at 11.3 in Week 7 and 15.4 in Week 8, a median of 13.3 points a game, up 4.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Justin Jefferson at 15.4 in Week 3, 3.2 in Week 4, 2.8 in Week 5, 15.6 in Week 7 and 15.8 in Week 8, a median of 15.4 points a game, flat across them.

Advertisement

Points so far against the price

Josh Jacobs has scored 20.1 PPR points in 1 game, 20.1 a game, 6.8 a game more than the 13.3 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB13 with 237.1 PPR points in 15 games, 15.8 a game.

Week 7 vs DET: 20.1 points (RB8 that week), 36 rushing yards on 11 carries, 5 of 7 targets for 55 yards, 1 touchdown, 52 percent of snaps.

Justin Jefferson has scored 72.1 PPR points in 5 games, 14.4 a game, 1.0 a game less than the 15.4 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR21 with 201.5 PPR points in 17 games, 11.9 a game.

Week 1 vs GB: 31.2 points (WR3 that week), 8 of 9 targets for 92 yards, 2 touchdowns, 92 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs CHI: 8.5 points (WR43 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 55 yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs TB: 5.2 points (WR73 that week), 2 of 2 targets for 32 yards, 12 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs NO: 18.8 points (WR14 that week), -11 rushing yards on 1 carry, 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards, 1 touchdown, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs IND: 8.4 points (WR32 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 44 yards, 93 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 7, Josh Jacobs has averaged 11.0 carries for 36 yards and 7.0 targets and 5.0 catches for 55 yards a game on 52 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 5 times inside the 20, 50 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 1 game.

In Week 7 against DET he had 11 carries and 7 targets on 52 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 7, Justin Jefferson has averaged 6.2 targets and 4.6 catches for 60 yards a game on 77 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 5 times inside the 20, 16 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 7 against IND he had 7 targets on 93 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. Josh Jacobs has 9 games in it with his bye in Week 11; Justin Jefferson has 10 games with no bye left.

CAR, Jacobs's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 28.7 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 2nd most to RBs of 32.

DET, Jefferson's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 39.2 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 3rd most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Josh Jacobs would want about 18 more added to make it even: a player like Carnell Tate, valued at 18. Two players for Jefferson also costs that side a roster spot.

Carnell Tate's player page

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Josh Jacobs for Justin Jefferson?

    Yes on value: Justin Jefferson is worth 63 and Josh Jacobs 45, a gain of 18. If Josh Jacobs starts for you and Justin Jefferson would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Josh Jacobs or Justin Jefferson?

    Justin Jefferson, 63 to 45. He rates 15.4 market points a game over 10 games left, against 13.3 over 9 for Josh Jacobs, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 2:41 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number