Aaron Nesmith vs Jalen Green: who to start in Week 2
Aaron Nesmith plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Jalen Green 2. For that week alone, start Aaron Nesmith: 89.3 projected fantasy points to 54.2 for Jalen Green. Over the season, Jalen Green leads in points leagues (27.1 fantasy points a game to 22.3) and Aaron Nesmith in 9-cat leagues (206th against 208th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 27, 8:32 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #159
- 22.3 FP/G, slot 14.03
- 9-cat leagues
- #206
- -4.0 z, slot 18.02
Day to day (Hamstring)
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #111
- 27.1 FP/G, slot 10.03, $7
- 9-cat leagues
- #208
- -4.0 z, slot 18.04
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Jalen Green. 27.1 fantasy points per game against 22.3, 111th on our board to 159th.
9-cat leagues: Aaron Nesmith instead, -4.0 in summed z-scores against -4.0 (206th to 208th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Aaron Nesmith is ahead in 6 (REB, BLK, 3PM, FG%, FT% and TO) and Jalen Green in 3 (PTS, AST and STL).
Per 36 minutes, Jalen Green produces more: 37.3 fantasy points to 28.6, on 26.1 minutes a night against 28.1. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Aaron Nesmith plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Jalen Green 2. For that week alone, start Aaron Nesmith: 89.3 projected fantasy points to 54.2 for Jalen Green.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Aaron Nesmith | Jalen Green |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 22.3 | 27.1 |
| Minutes | 28.1 | 26.1 |
| PointsPTS | 13.4 | 17.1 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.7 | 3.5 |
| AssistsAST | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| StealsSTL | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| Field goal %FG% | 41.6% | 43.0% |
| Free throw %FT% | 81.1% | 75.3% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 45 | 32 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Aaron Nesmith | Jalen Green |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 28.6 | 37.3 |
| Points | 17.3 | 23.6 |
| Rebounds | 4.8 | 4.8 |
| Assists | 2.3 | 3.9 |
| Steals | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Threes | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| Turnovers | 1.8 | 3.0 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Aaron Nesmith | Jalen Green |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.5 | +0.1 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.9 | -1.0 |
| AssistsAST | -0.9 | -0.4 |
| StealsSTL | -1.3 | -0.2 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.4 | -0.7 |
| Threes3PM | +0.6 | +0.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -1.3 | -1.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.1 | -0.4 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.6 | -0.4 |
| Total | -4.0 | -4.0 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds, blocks, threes, free throw percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Jalen Green.
| Punt | Aaron Nesmith | Jalen Green |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -3.4 (#238) | -4.2 (#287) |
| REB | -3.2 (#200) | -3.2 (#195) |
| AST | -3.1 (#196) | -3.7 (#230) |
| STL | -2.7 (#172) | -3.8 (#230) |
| BLK | -3.7 (#205) | -3.4 (#191) |
| 3PM | -4.7 (#258) | -4.6 (#251) |
| FG% | -2.7 (#151) | -2.8 (#153) |
| FT% | -4.1 (#217) | -3.8 (#208) |
| TO | -4.6 (#195) | -3.6 (#162) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)
- Aaron Nesmith: 4 games (Mon @MIL, Wed PHI, Fri @MIA, Sun BKN), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.
- Jalen Green: 2 games (Mon @OKC, Fri DEN).
Recent games
- Aaron Nesmith: 16.3 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 22.3 on the board.
- Jalen Green: 22.2 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 27.1 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Aaron Nesmith playing tonight? · Is Jalen Green playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Jalen Green
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Aaron Nesmith or Jalen Green?
Points leagues: Jalen Green. 27.1 fantasy points per game against 22.3, 111th on our board to 159th. 9-cat leagues: Aaron Nesmith instead, -4.0 in summed z-scores against -4.0 (206th to 208th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Aaron Nesmith or Jalen Green?
Category by category, Aaron Nesmith is ahead in 6 (REB, BLK, 3PM, FG%, FT% and TO) and Jalen Green in 3 (PTS, AST and STL).
Who should I start in Week 2, Aaron Nesmith or Jalen Green?
Aaron Nesmith plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Jalen Green 2. For that week alone, start Aaron Nesmith: 89.3 projected fantasy points to 54.2 for Jalen Green.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 27, 2026 at 8:32 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number