Jalen Green vs Mark Williams: who to start in Week 1
Jalen Green plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Mark Williams 2. For that week alone, start Jalen Green: 54.8 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Mark Williams. Over the season, Jalen Green leads in points leagues (27.4 fantasy points a game to 27.1) and Mark Williams in 9-cat leagues (58th against 226th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 22, 8:57 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #112
- 27.4 FP/G, slot 10.04, $8
- 9-cat leagues
- #226
- -4.2 z, slot 19.10
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #113
- 27.1 FP/G, slot 10.05, $7
- 9-cat leagues
- #58
- -0.0 z, slot 5.10, $15
Out (Shoulder)
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Jalen Green. 27.4 fantasy points per game against 27.1, 112th on our board to 113th.
9-cat leagues: Mark Williams instead, -0.0 in summed z-scores against -4.2 (58th to 226th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Jalen Green is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, STL and 3PM) and Mark Williams in 5 (REB, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Mark Williams produces more: 41.3 fantasy points to 38.2, on 23.6 minutes a night against 25.8. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Jalen Green plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Mark Williams 2. For that week alone, start Jalen Green: 54.8 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Mark Williams.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Jalen Green | Mark Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 27.4 | 27.1 |
| Minutes | 25.8 | 23.6 |
| PointsPTS | 17.3 | 11.7 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.5 | 8.0 |
| AssistsAST | 2.9 | 1.0 |
| StealsSTL | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.9 |
| Threes3PM | 2.2 | 0.0 |
| Field goal %FG% | 41.8% | 64.4% |
| Free throw %FT% | 74.7% | 77.1% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 32 | 60 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Jalen Green | Mark Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 38.2 | 41.3 |
| Points | 24.1 | 17.8 |
| Rebounds | 4.9 | 12.1 |
| Assists | 4.0 | 1.5 |
| Steals | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Threes | 3.1 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 3.1 | 1.7 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Jalen Green | Mark Williams |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +0.1 | -0.8 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.0 | +1.0 |
| AssistsAST | -0.4 | -1.4 |
| StealsSTL | -0.1 | -0.3 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.8 | +0.5 |
| Threes3PM | +0.6 | -1.6 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -1.8 | +1.9 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.5 | +1.0 |
| Total | -4.2 | -0.0 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
No punt changes the answer: Mark Williams stays ahead whichever category you give up.
| Punt | Jalen Green | Mark Williams |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -4.4 (#292) | +0.8 (#40) |
| REB | -3.4 (#215) | -1.2 (#101) |
| AST | -4.0 (#242) | +1.3 (#30) |
| STL | -4.3 (#257) | +0.2 (#58) |
| BLK | -3.6 (#201) | -0.8 (#78) |
| 3PM | -4.9 (#272) | +1.6 (#31) |
| FG% | -2.6 (#146) | -2.4 (#133) |
| FT% | -3.9 (#217) | +0.3 (#54) |
| TO | -3.8 (#166) | -1.2 (#87) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Jalen Green: 2 games (Wed @POR, Sat GSW).
- Mark Williams: 2 games (Wed @POR, Sat GSW), listed Out.
Recent games
- Jalen Green: 17.9 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 27.4 on the board.
- Mark Williams: 21.8 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 27.1 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Jalen Green playing tonight? · Is Mark Williams playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Jalen Green, Mark Williams
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jalen Green or Mark Williams?
Points leagues: Jalen Green. 27.4 fantasy points per game against 27.1, 112th on our board to 113th. 9-cat leagues: Mark Williams instead, -0.0 in summed z-scores against -4.2 (58th to 226th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Jalen Green or Mark Williams?
Category by category, Jalen Green is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, STL and 3PM) and Mark Williams in 5 (REB, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Jalen Green or Mark Williams?
Jalen Green plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Mark Williams 2. For that week alone, start Jalen Green: 54.8 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Mark Williams.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 8:57 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number