Ace Bailey vs Bilal Coulibaly: who to start in Week 2
Ace Bailey plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Bilal Coulibaly 3. For that week alone, start Ace Bailey: 78.3 projected fantasy points to 75.3 for Bilal Coulibaly. Over the season, Ace Bailey leads in both formats: 26.1 fantasy points a game to 25.1, and 127th against 129th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 27, 2:32 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #125
- 26.1 FP/G, slot 11.05, $6
- 9-cat leagues
- #127
- -2.0 z, slot 11.07, $4
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #134
- 25.1 FP/G, slot 12.02, $4
- 9-cat leagues
- #129
- -2.0 z, slot 11.09, $4
The call
Points leagues: Ace Bailey. 26.1 fantasy points per game against 25.1, 125th on our board to 134th.
9-cat leagues: Ace Bailey again, -2.0 in summed z-scores against -2.0 (127th to 129th).
Category by category, Ace Bailey is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, 3PM, FG% and FT%) and Bilal Coulibaly in 2 (STL and TO).
Ace Bailey plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Bilal Coulibaly 3. For that week alone, start Ace Bailey: 78.3 projected fantasy points to 75.3 for Bilal Coulibaly.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Ace Bailey | Bilal Coulibaly |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 26.1 | 25.1 |
| Minutes | 27.5 | 26.4 |
| PointsPTS | 13.6 | 10.9 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.1 | 4.3 |
| AssistsAST | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| StealsSTL | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Threes3PM | 1.9 | 1.0 |
| Field goal %FG% | 45.7% | 42.7% |
| Free throw %FT% | 75.0% | 75.5% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 72 | 56 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Ace Bailey | Bilal Coulibaly |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 34.1 | 34.2 |
| Points | 17.8 | 14.9 |
| Rebounds | 6.7 | 5.9 |
| Assists | 2.7 | 2.9 |
| Steals | 0.9 | 1.9 |
| Blocks | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Threes | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| Turnovers | 1.9 | 1.8 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Ace Bailey | Bilal Coulibaly |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.5 | -1.0 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.3 | -0.6 |
| AssistsAST | -0.8 | -0.7 |
| StealsSTL | -1.0 | +1.0 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.5 | +0.5 |
| Threes3PM | +0.2 | -0.7 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.5 | -0.9 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.2 | -0.4 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.6 | +0.7 |
| Total | -2.0 | -2.0 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, rebounds, threes, field goal percentage and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Bilal Coulibaly.
| Punt | Ace Bailey | Bilal Coulibaly |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.6 (#143) | -1.1 (#108) |
| REB | -1.9 (#127) | -1.7 (#121) |
| AST | -1.3 (#114) | -1.3 (#115) |
| STL | -1.1 (#102) | -3.1 (#188) |
| BLK | -2.6 (#159) | -2.7 (#160) |
| 3PM | -2.3 (#154) | -1.3 (#104) |
| FG% | -1.5 (#108) | -1.4 (#102) |
| FT% | -1.9 (#133) | -1.6 (#118) |
| TO | -2.6 (#123) | -2.8 (#129) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)
- Ace Bailey: 3 games (Mon MEM, Wed SAS, Sat POR), 1 back-to-back.
- Bilal Coulibaly: 3 games (Mon @CHA, Wed @CLE, Fri CHA).
Recent games
- Ace Bailey: 31.7 fantasy points a game over his last 4 of 2026-27, against 26.1 on the board.
- Bilal Coulibaly: 20.6 fantasy points a game over his last 4 of 2026-27, against 25.1 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Ace Bailey playing tonight? · Is Bilal Coulibaly playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Ace Bailey, Bilal Coulibaly
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Ace Bailey or Bilal Coulibaly?
Points leagues: Ace Bailey. 26.1 fantasy points per game against 25.1, 125th on our board to 134th. 9-cat leagues: Ace Bailey again, -2.0 in summed z-scores against -2.0 (127th to 129th).
Who wins more categories, Ace Bailey or Bilal Coulibaly?
Category by category, Ace Bailey is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, 3PM, FG% and FT%) and Bilal Coulibaly in 2 (STL and TO).
Who should I start in Week 2, Ace Bailey or Bilal Coulibaly?
Ace Bailey plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Bilal Coulibaly 3. For that week alone, start Ace Bailey: 78.3 projected fantasy points to 75.3 for Bilal Coulibaly.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 27, 2026 at 2:32 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number