Andre Drummond vs Marvin Bagley III: who to start in Week 2
Andre Drummond plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Marvin Bagley III 3. For that week alone, start Andre Drummond: 63.6 projected fantasy points to 60.6 for Marvin Bagley III. Over the season, Andre Drummond leads in points leagues (21.2 fantasy points a game to 20.2) and Marvin Bagley III in 9-cat leagues (208th against 209th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 28, 2:33 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #183
- 21.2 FP/G, slot 16.03
- 9-cat leagues
- #209
- -4.1 z, slot 18.05
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #197
- 20.2 FP/G, slot 17.05
- 9-cat leagues
- #208
- -4.1 z, slot 18.04
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Andre Drummond. 21.2 fantasy points per game against 20.2, 183rd on our board to 197th.
9-cat leagues: Marvin Bagley III instead, -4.1 in summed z-scores against -4.1 (208th to 209th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Andre Drummond is ahead in 6 (REB, AST, STL, BLK, 3PM and TO) and Marvin Bagley III in 2 (PTS and FG%).
Per 36 minutes, Andre Drummond produces more: 41.9 fantasy points to 39.5, on 18.2 minutes a night against 18.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Andre Drummond plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Marvin Bagley III 3. For that week alone, start Andre Drummond: 63.6 projected fantasy points to 60.6 for Marvin Bagley III.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Andre Drummond | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 21.2 | 20.2 |
| Minutes | 18.2 | 18.4 |
| PointsPTS | 6.5 | 9.5 |
| ReboundsREB | 8.1 | 5.6 |
| AssistsAST | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| StealsSTL | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Threes3PM | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Field goal %FG% | 48.3% | 61.9% |
| Free throw %FT% | 56.2% | 66.1% |
| TurnoversTO | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 63 | 60 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Andre Drummond | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 41.9 | 39.5 |
| Points | 12.9 | 18.6 |
| Rebounds | 16.0 | 10.9 |
| Assists | 2.7 | 2.4 |
| Steals | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Threes | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Turnovers | 1.6 | 1.9 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Andre Drummond | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.7 | -1.2 |
| ReboundsREB | +1.1 | -0.0 |
| AssistsAST | -1.1 | -1.2 |
| StealsSTL | -1.3 | -1.7 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.1 | -0.1 |
| Threes3PM | -1.3 | -1.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.0 | +1.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -1.1 | -1.0 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.3 | +1.1 |
| Total | -4.1 | -4.1 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, field goal percentage and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Andre Drummond.
| Punt | Andre Drummond | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -2.3 (#180) | -2.8 (#208) |
| REB | -5.5 (#312) | -4.3 (#260) |
| AST | -2.9 (#192) | -2.8 (#189) |
| STL | -2.7 (#170) | -2.4 (#155) |
| BLK | -4.5 (#243) | -4.3 (#235) |
| 3PM | -2.6 (#169) | -2.6 (#168) |
| FG% | -4.6 (#227) | -6.1 (#294) |
| FT% | -2.9 (#176) | -3.0 (#181) |
| TO | -5.5 (#222) | -5.3 (#217) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)
- Andre Drummond: 3 games (Tue DET, Wed @CHI, Fri @PHI), 1 back-to-back.
- Marvin Bagley III: 3 games (Mon GSW, Wed @NOP, Fri @PHX).
Recent games
- Andre Drummond: 19.7 fantasy points a game over his last 4 of 2026-27, against 21.2 on the board.
- Marvin Bagley III: 9.1 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 20.2 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Andre Drummond playing tonight? · Is Marvin Bagley III playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Andre Drummond or Marvin Bagley III?
Points leagues: Andre Drummond. 21.2 fantasy points per game against 20.2, 183rd on our board to 197th. 9-cat leagues: Marvin Bagley III instead, -4.1 in summed z-scores against -4.1 (208th to 209th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Andre Drummond or Marvin Bagley III?
Category by category, Andre Drummond is ahead in 6 (REB, AST, STL, BLK, 3PM and TO) and Marvin Bagley III in 2 (PTS and FG%).
Who should I start in Week 2, Andre Drummond or Marvin Bagley III?
Andre Drummond plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Marvin Bagley III 3. For that week alone, start Andre Drummond: 63.6 projected fantasy points to 60.6 for Marvin Bagley III.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 28, 2026 at 2:33 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number