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Anthony Edwards vs Joel Embiid: who to draft in 2026-27

Draft Joel Embiid in points leagues (44.5 fantasy points a game to 43.9) and Anthony Edwards in 9-cat leagues (13th against 22nd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.

Anthony Edwards
SGPGMINage 25
Points leagues
#14
43.9 FP/G, slot 2.02, $32
9-cat leagues
#13
+3.4 z, slot 2.01, $34

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Joel Embiid
CPHIage 32DTD
Points leagues
#11
44.5 FP/G, slot 1.11, $33
9-cat leagues
#22
+2.5 z, slot 2.10, $29

Day to day (Rest)

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: draft Joel Embiid. 44.5 fantasy points per game against 43.9, 11th on our board to 14th.

9-cat leagues: Anthony Edwards instead, +3.4 in summed z-scores against +2.5 (13th to 22nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Anthony Edwards is ahead in 3 (PTS, STL and 3PM) and Joel Embiid in 4 (REB, AST, BLK and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Joel Embiid produces more: 50.6 fantasy points to 45.2, on 31.6 minutes a night against 35.0. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Anthony Edwards plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Joel Embiid 4. For that week alone, start Joel Embiid: 177.9 projected fantasy points to 131.8 for Anthony Edwards.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

Per game, side by side

Per gameAnthony EdwardsJoel Embiid
Fantasy points per game43.944.5
Minutes35.031.6
PointsPTS28.826.9
ReboundsREB5.07.7
AssistsAST3.73.9
StealsSTL1.40.6
BlocksBLK0.81.2
Threes3PM3.41.4
Field goal %FG%48.9%48.9%
Free throw %FT%79.6%85.4%
TurnoversTO2.92.9
Games, 2025-266138

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Anthony EdwardsJoel Embiid
Fantasy points45.250.6
Points29.630.6
Rebounds5.18.8
Assists3.84.5
Steals1.40.6
Blocks0.81.4
Threes3.51.6
Turnovers2.93.3

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryAnthony EdwardsJoel Embiid
PointsPTS+2.1+1.8
ReboundsREB-0.4+0.8
AssistsAST+0.0+0.1
StealsSTL+1.0-1.3
BlocksBLK+0.2+1.1
Threes3PM+1.7-0.3
Field goal percentageFG%+0.1+0.1
Free throw percentageFT%-0.0+1.5
TurnoversTO-1.3-1.3
Total+3.4+2.5

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting steals and threes flips the 9-cat answer to Joel Embiid.

PuntAnthony EdwardsJoel Embiid
PTS+1.2 (#34)+0.7 (#38)
REB+3.7 (#12)+1.6 (#28)
AST+3.2 (#12)+2.3 (#19)
STL+2.3 (#21)+3.8 (#11)
BLK+3.2 (#15)+1.4 (#34)
3PM+1.5 (#32)+2.6 (#17)
FG%+3.3 (#17)+2.5 (#24)
FT%+3.3 (#11)+0.9 (#41)
TO+4.8 (#12)+3.8 (#17)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Anthony Edwards: 3 games (Wed @MIA, Fri @ORL, Sun TOR).
  • Joel Embiid: 4 games (Tue @NYK, Thu CLE, Sat MIL, Sun DET), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Anthony Edwards: 38.6 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 43.9 on the board.
  • Joel Embiid: 48.0 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 44.5 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Common questions

  • Should I draft Anthony Edwards or Joel Embiid in 2026-27?

    Points leagues: draft Joel Embiid. 44.5 fantasy points per game against 43.9, 11th on our board to 14th. 9-cat leagues: Anthony Edwards instead, +3.4 in summed z-scores against +2.5 (13th to 22nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Anthony Edwards or Joel Embiid?

    Category by category, Anthony Edwards is ahead in 3 (PTS, STL and 3PM) and Joel Embiid in 4 (REB, AST, BLK and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Anthony Edwards or Joel Embiid?

    Anthony Edwards plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Joel Embiid 4. For that week alone, start Joel Embiid: 177.9 projected fantasy points to 131.8 for Anthony Edwards.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number