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Anthony Edwards vs Lauri Markkanen: who to start in Week 1

Anthony Edwards plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Lauri Markkanen 3. For that week alone, start Anthony Edwards: 134.4 projected fantasy points to 120.1 for Lauri Markkanen. Over the season, Anthony Edwards leads in both formats: 44.8 fantasy points a game to 40.0, and 9th against 11th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 8:26 AM ET.

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Anthony Edwards
SGPGMINage 25
Points leagues
#11
44.8 FP/G, slot 1.11, $34
9-cat leagues
#9
+4.1 z, slot 1.09, $39

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Lauri Markkanen
PFSFUTAage 29
Points leagues
#25
40.0 FP/G, slot 3.01, $27
9-cat leagues
#11
+3.8 z, slot 1.11, $37

The call

Points leagues: Anthony Edwards. 44.8 fantasy points per game against 40.0, 11th on our board to 25th.

9-cat leagues: Anthony Edwards again, +4.1 in summed z-scores against +3.8 (9th to 11th).

Category by category, Anthony Edwards is ahead in 6 (PTS, AST, STL, BLK, 3PM and FG%) and Lauri Markkanen in 3 (REB, FT% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Anthony Edwards produces more: 46.3 fantasy points to 41.9, on 34.8 minutes a night against 34.4. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.

Anthony Edwards plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Lauri Markkanen 3. For that week alone, start Anthony Edwards: 134.4 projected fantasy points to 120.1 for Lauri Markkanen.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameAnthony EdwardsLauri Markkanen
Fantasy points per game44.840.0
Minutes34.834.4
PointsPTS28.925.6
ReboundsREB5.27.0
AssistsAST3.72.2
StealsSTL1.60.9
BlocksBLK0.80.5
Threes3PM3.62.7
Field goal %FG%47.7%46.9%
Free throw %FT%79.5%89.6%
TurnoversTO2.91.6
Games, 2025-266142

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Anthony EdwardsLauri Markkanen
Fantasy points46.341.9
Points29.926.8
Rebounds5.47.3
Assists3.82.3
Steals1.61.0
Blocks0.80.5
Threes3.72.8
Turnovers3.01.6

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryAnthony EdwardsLauri Markkanen
PointsPTS+2.2+1.6
ReboundsREB-0.3+0.5
AssistsAST+0.0-0.7
StealsSTL+1.4-0.2
BlocksBLK+0.2-0.4
Threes3PM+2.1+1.1
Field goal percentageFG%-0.3-0.5
Free throw percentageFT%-0.0+2.0
TurnoversTO-1.2+0.4
Total+4.1+3.8

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting points, assists, steals, blocks, threes and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Lauri Markkanen.

PuntAnthony EdwardsLauri Markkanen
PTS+1.7 (#23)+2.1 (#17)
REB+4.3 (#9)+3.4 (#14)
AST+3.8 (#8)+4.4 (#7)
STL+2.5 (#19)+4.0 (#8)
BLK+4.0 (#10)+4.2 (#8)
3PM+1.8 (#27)+2.5 (#21)
FG%+4.4 (#10)+4.8 (#9)
FT%+3.8 (#8)+1.7 (#28)
TO+5.4 (#9)+3.5 (#20)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Anthony Edwards: 3 games (Wed @MIA, Fri @ORL, Sun TOR).
  • Lauri Markkanen: 3 games (Wed @MEM, Fri NOP, Sun LAL).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Anthony Edwards: 51.1 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 44.8 on the board.
  • Lauri Markkanen: 31.5 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 40.0 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Anthony Edwards playing tonight? · Is Lauri Markkanen playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Anthony Edwards

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Anthony Edwards or Lauri Markkanen?

    Points leagues: Anthony Edwards. 44.8 fantasy points per game against 40.0, 11th on our board to 25th. 9-cat leagues: Anthony Edwards again, +4.1 in summed z-scores against +3.8 (9th to 11th).

  • Who wins more categories, Anthony Edwards or Lauri Markkanen?

    Category by category, Anthony Edwards is ahead in 6 (PTS, AST, STL, BLK, 3PM and FG%) and Lauri Markkanen in 3 (REB, FT% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Anthony Edwards or Lauri Markkanen?

    Anthony Edwards plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Lauri Markkanen 3. For that week alone, start Anthony Edwards: 134.4 projected fantasy points to 120.1 for Lauri Markkanen.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 8:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number