Bennedict Mathurin vs Keaton Wagler: who to start in Week 3
Bennedict Mathurin plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Keaton Wagler 3. For that week alone, start Bennedict Mathurin: 93.4 projected fantasy points to 70.6 for Keaton Wagler. Over the season, Keaton Wagler leads in points leagues (23.5 fantasy points a game to 23.4) and Bennedict Mathurin in 9-cat leagues (217th against 286th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 2:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #161
- 23.4 FP/G, slot 14.05
- 9-cat leagues
- #217
- -4.1 z, slot 19.01
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #159
- 23.5 FP/G, slot 14.03
- 9-cat leagues
- #286
- -5.6 z, slot 24.10
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Keaton Wagler. 23.5 fantasy points per game against 23.4, 159th on our board to 161st.
9-cat leagues: Bennedict Mathurin instead, -4.1 in summed z-scores against -5.6 (217th to 286th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Bennedict Mathurin is ahead in 4 (PTS, FG%, FT% and TO) and Keaton Wagler in 4 (AST, STL, BLK and 3PM).
Per 36 minutes, Keaton Wagler produces more: 33.9 fantasy points to 32.6, on 25.0 minutes a night against 25.8. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Bennedict Mathurin plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Keaton Wagler 3. For that week alone, start Bennedict Mathurin: 93.4 projected fantasy points to 70.6 for Keaton Wagler.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Bennedict Mathurin | Keaton Wagler |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 23.4 | 23.5 |
| Minutes | 25.8 | 25.0 |
| PointsPTS | 14.3 | 12.1 |
| ReboundsREB | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| AssistsAST | 2.2 | 3.6 |
| StealsSTL | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Field goal %FG% | 43.1% | 29.0% |
| Free throw %FT% | 87.2% | 84.8% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 54 | 0 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Bennedict Mathurin | Keaton Wagler |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 32.6 | 33.9 |
| Points | 19.9 | 17.5 |
| Rebounds | 6.0 | 6.4 |
| Assists | 3.0 | 5.1 |
| Steals | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Threes | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| Turnovers | 2.6 | 3.3 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Bennedict Mathurin | Keaton Wagler |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.4 | -0.8 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.6 | -0.6 |
| AssistsAST | -0.8 | -0.1 |
| StealsSTL | -1.0 | -0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.0 | -0.8 |
| Threes3PM | -0.5 | -0.3 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.8 | -2.6 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +1.1 | +1.0 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.1 | -0.4 |
| Total | -4.1 | -5.6 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Keaton Wagler.
| Punt | Bennedict Mathurin | Keaton Wagler |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -3.6 (#267) | -4.7 (#329) |
| REB | -3.6 (#221) | -5.1 (#311) |
| AST | -3.3 (#207) | -5.4 (#328) |
| STL | -3.1 (#190) | -4.6 (#291) |
| BLK | -3.3 (#182) | -5.0 (#279) |
| 3PM | -3.6 (#216) | -5.2 (#308) |
| FG% | -3.4 (#180) | -3.0 (#167) |
| FT% | -5.2 (#279) | -6.5 (#340) |
| TO | -4.3 (#181) | -5.2 (#216) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 438 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Bennedict Mathurin: 4 games (Mon @MEM, Wed UTA, Fri MIN, Sun @LAC).
- Keaton Wagler: 3 games (Mon TOR, Wed MIA, Sun NOP), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Bennedict Mathurin: 12.1 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 23.4 on the board.
- Keaton Wagler: 23.5 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 23.5 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Bennedict Mathurin playing tonight? · Is Keaton Wagler playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Bennedict Mathurin, Keaton Wagler
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Bennedict Mathurin or Keaton Wagler?
Points leagues: Keaton Wagler. 23.5 fantasy points per game against 23.4, 159th on our board to 161st. 9-cat leagues: Bennedict Mathurin instead, -4.1 in summed z-scores against -5.6 (217th to 286th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Bennedict Mathurin or Keaton Wagler?
Category by category, Bennedict Mathurin is ahead in 4 (PTS, FG%, FT% and TO) and Keaton Wagler in 4 (AST, STL, BLK and 3PM).
Who should I start in Week 3, Bennedict Mathurin or Keaton Wagler?
Bennedict Mathurin plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Keaton Wagler 3. For that week alone, start Bennedict Mathurin: 93.4 projected fantasy points to 70.6 for Keaton Wagler.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 2:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number