Keaton Wagler vs Kyle Kuzma: who to start in Week 3
Keaton Wagler plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Kyle Kuzma 4. For that week alone, start Kyle Kuzma: 96.9 projected fantasy points to 73.0 for Keaton Wagler. Over the season, Keaton Wagler leads in points leagues (24.3 fantasy points a game to 24.2) and Kyle Kuzma in 9-cat leagues (217th against 252nd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 2, 8:35 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #155
- 24.3 FP/G, slot 13.11, $1
- 9-cat leagues
- #252
- -4.8 z, slot 21.12
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #156
- 24.2 FP/G, slot 13.12, $1
- 9-cat leagues
- #217
- -4.0 z, slot 19.01
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Keaton Wagler. 24.3 fantasy points per game against 24.2, 155th on our board to 156th.
9-cat leagues: Kyle Kuzma instead, -4.0 in summed z-scores against -4.8 (217th to 252nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Keaton Wagler is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Kyle Kuzma in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Keaton Wagler produces more: 35.0 fantasy points to 33.0, on 25.0 minutes a night against 26.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Keaton Wagler plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Kyle Kuzma 4. For that week alone, start Kyle Kuzma: 96.9 projected fantasy points to 73.0 for Keaton Wagler.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Keaton Wagler | Kyle Kuzma |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 24.3 | 24.2 |
| Minutes | 25.0 | 26.4 |
| PointsPTS | 13.2 | 12.5 |
| ReboundsREB | 4.5 | 5.3 |
| AssistsAST | 3.5 | 2.7 |
| StealsSTL | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Field goal %FG% | 28.1% | 48.5% |
| Free throw %FT% | 88.1% | 69.7% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 0 | 69 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Keaton Wagler | Kyle Kuzma |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 35.0 | 33.0 |
| Points | 19.0 | 17.1 |
| Rebounds | 6.5 | 7.2 |
| Assists | 5.0 | 3.7 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Threes | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| Turnovers | 3.6 | 2.3 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Keaton Wagler | Kyle Kuzma |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.6 | -0.7 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.6 | -0.2 |
| AssistsAST | -0.1 | -0.5 |
| StealsSTL | -0.6 | -0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.0 | -0.8 |
| Threes3PM | -0.0 | -0.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -3.0 | +0.0 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +1.8 | -0.7 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.7 | +0.3 |
| Total | -4.8 | -4.0 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Keaton Wagler.
| Punt | Keaton Wagler | Kyle Kuzma |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -4.2 (#304) | -3.3 (#233) |
| REB | -4.3 (#273) | -3.9 (#241) |
| AST | -4.7 (#292) | -3.6 (#222) |
| STL | -4.1 (#261) | -3.1 (#195) |
| BLK | -4.0 (#219) | -3.4 (#192) |
| 3PM | -4.8 (#288) | -3.5 (#217) |
| FG% | -1.9 (#122) | -4.4 (#231) |
| FT% | -6.6 (#343) | -3.3 (#196) |
| TO | -4.2 (#180) | -4.4 (#189) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 432 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Keaton Wagler: 3 games (Mon TOR, Wed MIA, Sun NOP), 1 back-to-back.
- Kyle Kuzma: 4 games (Mon @MIN, Wed @BOS, Fri TOR, Sun BOS).
Recent games
- Keaton Wagler: 24.3 fantasy points a game over his last 6 of 2026-27, against 24.3 on the board.
- Kyle Kuzma: 25.0 fantasy points a game over his last 6 of 2026-27, against 24.2 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Keaton Wagler playing tonight? · Is Kyle Kuzma playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Keaton Wagler
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Keaton Wagler or Kyle Kuzma?
Points leagues: Keaton Wagler. 24.3 fantasy points per game against 24.2, 155th on our board to 156th. 9-cat leagues: Kyle Kuzma instead, -4.0 in summed z-scores against -4.8 (217th to 252nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Keaton Wagler or Kyle Kuzma?
Category by category, Keaton Wagler is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Kyle Kuzma in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 3, Keaton Wagler or Kyle Kuzma?
Keaton Wagler plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Kyle Kuzma 4. For that week alone, start Kyle Kuzma: 96.9 projected fantasy points to 73.0 for Keaton Wagler.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 2, 2026 at 8:35 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number