Keaton Wagler vs Kelly Oubre Jr.: who to start in Week 3
Keaton Wagler plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Kelly Oubre Jr. 3. For that week alone, start Kelly Oubre Jr.: 71.0 projected fantasy points to 70.6 for Keaton Wagler. Over the season, Kelly Oubre Jr. leads in both formats: 23.7 fantasy points a game to 23.5, and 170th against 286th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 2:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #159
- 23.5 FP/G, slot 14.03
- 9-cat leagues
- #286
- -5.6 z, slot 24.10
- Points leagues
- #158
- 23.7 FP/G, slot 14.02
- 9-cat leagues
- #170
- -2.9 z, slot 15.02
Day to day (Knee)
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Kelly Oubre Jr.. 23.7 fantasy points per game against 23.5, 158th on our board to 159th.
9-cat leagues: Kelly Oubre Jr. again, -2.9 in summed z-scores against -5.6 (170th to 286th).
Category by category, Keaton Wagler is ahead in 3 (REB, AST and FT%) and Kelly Oubre Jr. in 6 (PTS, STL, BLK, 3PM, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Keaton Wagler produces more: 33.9 fantasy points to 29.5, on 25.0 minutes a night against 28.8. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Keaton Wagler plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Kelly Oubre Jr. 3. For that week alone, start Kelly Oubre Jr.: 71.0 projected fantasy points to 70.6 for Keaton Wagler.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Keaton Wagler | Kelly Oubre Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 23.5 | 23.7 |
| Minutes | 25.0 | 28.8 |
| PointsPTS | 12.1 | 12.6 |
| ReboundsREB | 4.4 | 4.3 |
| AssistsAST | 3.6 | 1.6 |
| StealsSTL | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Threes3PM | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| Field goal %FG% | 29.0% | 45.7% |
| Free throw %FT% | 84.8% | 74.5% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 0 | 50 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Keaton Wagler | Kelly Oubre Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 33.9 | 29.5 |
| Points | 17.5 | 15.8 |
| Rebounds | 6.4 | 5.3 |
| Assists | 5.1 | 2.0 |
| Steals | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| Threes | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| Turnovers | 3.3 | 1.5 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Keaton Wagler | Kelly Oubre Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.8 | -0.7 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.6 | -0.7 |
| AssistsAST | -0.1 | -1.1 |
| StealsSTL | -0.9 | -0.1 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.8 | -0.2 |
| Threes3PM | -0.3 | -0.2 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -2.6 | -0.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +1.0 | -0.5 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.4 | +1.0 |
| Total | -5.6 | -2.9 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
No punt changes the answer: Kelly Oubre Jr. stays ahead whichever category you give up.
| Punt | Keaton Wagler | Kelly Oubre Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -4.7 (#329) | -2.2 (#181) |
| REB | -5.1 (#311) | -2.4 (#158) |
| AST | -5.4 (#328) | -1.9 (#146) |
| STL | -4.6 (#291) | -2.9 (#182) |
| BLK | -5.0 (#279) | -2.9 (#167) |
| 3PM | -5.2 (#308) | -2.7 (#179) |
| FG% | -3.0 (#167) | -2.8 (#154) |
| FT% | -6.5 (#340) | -2.5 (#167) |
| TO | -5.2 (#216) | -4.0 (#175) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 438 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Keaton Wagler: 3 games (Mon TOR, Wed MIA, Sun NOP), 1 back-to-back.
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3 games (Mon ATL, Wed @MEM, Sat DEN), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.
Recent games
- Keaton Wagler: 23.5 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 23.5 on the board.
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: 17.2 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 23.7 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Keaton Wagler playing tonight? · Is Kelly Oubre Jr. playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Keaton Wagler
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Keaton Wagler or Kelly Oubre Jr.?
Points leagues: Kelly Oubre Jr.. 23.7 fantasy points per game against 23.5, 158th on our board to 159th. 9-cat leagues: Kelly Oubre Jr. again, -2.9 in summed z-scores against -5.6 (170th to 286th).
Who wins more categories, Keaton Wagler or Kelly Oubre Jr.?
Category by category, Keaton Wagler is ahead in 3 (REB, AST and FT%) and Kelly Oubre Jr. in 6 (PTS, STL, BLK, 3PM, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 3, Keaton Wagler or Kelly Oubre Jr.?
Keaton Wagler plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Kelly Oubre Jr. 3. For that week alone, start Kelly Oubre Jr.: 71.0 projected fantasy points to 70.6 for Keaton Wagler.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 2:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number