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Brandin Podziemski vs Deandre Ayton: who to start in Week 1

Brandin Podziemski plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Deandre Ayton 3. For that week alone, start Deandre Ayton: 74.9 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Brandin Podziemski. Over the season, Brandin Podziemski leads in points leagues (28.0 fantasy points a game to 25.0) and Deandre Ayton in 9-cat leagues (102nd against 103rd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 25, 2:28 AM ET.

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Brandin Podziemski
PGSGGSWage 23OUT
Points leagues
#100
28.0 FP/G, slot 9.04, $9
9-cat leagues
#103
-1.4 z, slot 9.07, $7

Out (Back)

The pick in points leagues.

Deandre Ayton
CWASage 28
Points leagues
#134
25.0 FP/G, slot 12.02, $4
9-cat leagues
#102
-1.4 z, slot 9.06, $8

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Brandin Podziemski. 28.0 fantasy points per game against 25.0, 100th on our board to 134th.

9-cat leagues: Deandre Ayton instead, -1.4 in summed z-scores against -1.4 (102nd to 103rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Brandin Podziemski is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Deandre Ayton in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Deandre Ayton produces more: 35.7 fantasy points to 35.1, on 25.2 minutes a night against 28.7. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Brandin Podziemski plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Deandre Ayton 3. For that week alone, start Deandre Ayton: 74.9 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Brandin Podziemski.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameBrandin PodziemskiDeandre Ayton
Fantasy points per game28.025.0
Minutes28.725.2
PointsPTS14.111.5
ReboundsREB4.97.5
AssistsAST3.70.7
StealsSTL1.20.5
BlocksBLK0.20.9
Threes3PM1.90.0
Field goal %FG%45.1%68.0%
Free throw %FT%80.6%63.6%
TurnoversTO1.71.0
Games, 2025-268272

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Brandin PodziemskiDeandre Ayton
Fantasy points35.135.7
Points17.616.5
Rebounds6.210.7
Assists4.61.1
Steals1.50.8
Blocks0.31.3
Threes2.30.0
Turnovers2.21.5

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryBrandin PodziemskiDeandre Ayton
PointsPTS-0.4-0.8
ReboundsREB-0.4+0.8
AssistsAST+0.0-1.4
StealsSTL+0.4-1.4
BlocksBLK-0.9+0.5
Threes3PM+0.2-1.7
Field goal percentageFG%-0.6+2.5
Free throw percentageFT%+0.1-0.9
TurnoversTO+0.1+1.1
Total-1.4-1.4

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Brandin Podziemski.

PuntBrandin PodziemskiDeandre Ayton
PTS-1.0 (#107)-0.6 (#85)
REB-1.1 (#99)-2.4 (#160)
AST-1.5 (#123)+0.0 (#53)
STL-1.9 (#137)-0.1 (#62)
BLK-0.6 (#76)-2.1 (#143)
3PM-1.7 (#124)+0.3 (#51)
FG%-0.9 (#83)-4.5 (#229)
FT%-1.5 (#116)-0.5 (#78)
TO-1.6 (#98)-2.6 (#128)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Brandin Podziemski: 3 games (Wed @LAL, Fri MEM, Sat @PHX), 1 back-to-back, listed Out.
  • Deandre Ayton: 3 games (Wed MIL, Fri TOR, Sat @CHI), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Brandin Podziemski: 32.9 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 28.0 on the board.
  • Deandre Ayton: 16.2 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 25.0 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Brandin Podziemski playing tonight? · Is Deandre Ayton playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Brandin Podziemski

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Brandin Podziemski or Deandre Ayton?

    Points leagues: Brandin Podziemski. 28.0 fantasy points per game against 25.0, 100th on our board to 134th. 9-cat leagues: Deandre Ayton instead, -1.4 in summed z-scores against -1.4 (102nd to 103rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Brandin Podziemski or Deandre Ayton?

    Category by category, Brandin Podziemski is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Deandre Ayton in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Brandin Podziemski or Deandre Ayton?

    Brandin Podziemski plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Deandre Ayton 3. For that week alone, start Deandre Ayton: 74.9 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Brandin Podziemski.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 25, 2026 at 2:28 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number