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Jordan Goodwin vs Mitchell Robinson: who to start in Week 1

Jordan Goodwin plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Mitchell Robinson 2. For that week alone, start Mitchell Robinson: 45.3 projected fantasy points to 42.8 for Jordan Goodwin. Over the season, Mitchell Robinson leads in both formats: 22.6 fantasy points a game to 21.4, and 146th against 147th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 22, 11:54 AM ET.

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Jordan Goodwin
SGSFPHXage 27
Points leagues
#186
21.4 FP/G, slot 16.06
9-cat leagues
#147
-2.4 z, slot 13.03, $2
Points leagues
#165
22.6 FP/G, slot 14.09
9-cat leagues
#146
-2.4 z, slot 13.02, $2

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Mitchell Robinson. 22.6 fantasy points per game against 21.4, 165th on our board to 186th.

9-cat leagues: Mitchell Robinson again, -2.4 in summed z-scores against -2.4 (146th to 147th).

Category by category, Jordan Goodwin is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Mitchell Robinson in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Mitchell Robinson produces more: 41.8 fantasy points to 34.3, on 19.5 minutes a night against 22.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Jordan Goodwin plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Mitchell Robinson 2. For that week alone, start Mitchell Robinson: 45.3 projected fantasy points to 42.8 for Jordan Goodwin.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameJordan GoodwinMitchell Robinson
Fantasy points per game21.422.6
Minutes22.419.5
PointsPTS8.35.6
ReboundsREB4.88.4
AssistsAST2.00.9
StealsSTL1.50.9
BlocksBLK0.21.2
Threes3PM1.60.0
Field goal %FG%40.7%73.4%
Free throw %FT%69.6%37.8%
TurnoversTO1.00.8
Games, 2025-267060

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Jordan GoodwinMitchell Robinson
Fantasy points34.341.8
Points13.410.3
Rebounds7.715.5
Assists3.21.6
Steals2.51.7
Blocks0.32.3
Threes2.50.0
Turnovers1.61.4

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJordan GoodwinMitchell Robinson
PointsPTS-1.4-1.9
ReboundsREB-0.4+1.2
AssistsAST-0.8-1.4
StealsSTL+1.5-0.2
BlocksBLK-1.0+1.1
Threes3PM-0.1-1.7
Field goal percentageFG%-1.0+1.4
Free throw percentageFT%-0.2-2.3
TurnoversTO+1.1+1.4
Total-2.4-2.4

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Jordan Goodwin.

PuntJordan GoodwinMitchell Robinson
PTS-1.1 (#109)-0.5 (#81)
REB-2.1 (#141)-4.1 (#256)
AST-1.6 (#125)-0.9 (#96)
STL-3.9 (#228)-2.2 (#155)
BLK-1.6 (#113)-4.0 (#227)
3PM-2.3 (#150)-0.6 (#80)
FG%-1.6 (#102)-4.7 (#240)
FT%-2.1 (#143)-0.0 (#65)
TO-3.6 (#157)-3.9 (#174)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Jordan Goodwin: 2 games (Wed @POR, Sat GSW).
  • Mitchell Robinson: 2 games (Tue @DET, Fri NYK).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Jordan Goodwin: 12.8 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 21.4 on the board.
  • Mitchell Robinson: 16.1 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 22.6 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Jordan Goodwin playing tonight? · Is Mitchell Robinson playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Mitchell Robinson

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jordan Goodwin or Mitchell Robinson?

    Points leagues: Mitchell Robinson. 22.6 fantasy points per game against 21.4, 165th on our board to 186th. 9-cat leagues: Mitchell Robinson again, -2.4 in summed z-scores against -2.4 (146th to 147th).

  • Who wins more categories, Jordan Goodwin or Mitchell Robinson?

    Category by category, Jordan Goodwin is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Mitchell Robinson in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Jordan Goodwin or Mitchell Robinson?

    Jordan Goodwin plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Mitchell Robinson 2. For that week alone, start Mitchell Robinson: 45.3 projected fantasy points to 42.8 for Jordan Goodwin.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 11:54 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number