Duncan Robinson vs Ziaire Williams: who to start in Week 1
Duncan Robinson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Ziaire Williams 3. For that week alone, start Duncan Robinson: 63.2 projected fantasy points to 58.5 for Ziaire Williams. Over the season, Duncan Robinson leads in both formats: 21.1 fantasy points a game to 19.5, and 156th against 157th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 24, 6:26 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #189
- 21.1 FP/G, slot 16.09
- 9-cat leagues
- #156
- -2.5 z, slot 13.12, $1
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #212
- 19.5 FP/G, slot 18.08
- 9-cat leagues
- #157
- -2.5 z, slot 14.01
The call
Points leagues: Duncan Robinson. 21.1 fantasy points per game against 19.5, 189th on our board to 212th.
9-cat leagues: Duncan Robinson again, -2.5 in summed z-scores against -2.5 (156th to 157th).
Category by category, Duncan Robinson is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and TO) and Ziaire Williams in 3 (STL, BLK and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Ziaire Williams produces more: 30.0 fantasy points to 27.6, on 23.4 minutes a night against 27.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Duncan Robinson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Ziaire Williams 3. For that week alone, start Duncan Robinson: 63.2 projected fantasy points to 58.5 for Ziaire Williams.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Duncan Robinson | Ziaire Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 21.1 | 19.5 |
| Minutes | 27.4 | 23.4 |
| PointsPTS | 13.0 | 10.4 |
| ReboundsREB | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| AssistsAST | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| StealsSTL | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Threes3PM | 3.1 | 1.5 |
| Field goal %FG% | 45.5% | 44.8% |
| Free throw %FT% | 76.9% | 86.1% |
| TurnoversTO | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 77 | 56 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Duncan Robinson | Ziaire Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 27.6 | 30.0 |
| Points | 17.0 | 16.0 |
| Rebounds | 3.3 | 4.0 |
| Assists | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| Steals | 0.9 | 2.1 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Threes | 4.1 | 2.3 |
| Turnovers | 1.1 | 1.6 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Duncan Robinson | Ziaire Williams |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.6 | -1.0 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.5 | -1.4 |
| AssistsAST | -0.8 | -1.2 |
| StealsSTL | -0.9 | +1.0 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.9 | -0.6 |
| Threes3PM | +1.5 | -0.2 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.5 | -0.5 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.2 | +0.5 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.2 | +1.0 |
| Total | -2.5 | -2.5 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, rebounds, assists, threes and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Ziaire Williams.
| Punt | Duncan Robinson | Ziaire Williams |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -2.0 (#165) | -1.5 (#134) |
| REB | -1.1 (#100) | -1.1 (#99) |
| AST | -1.8 (#143) | -1.3 (#118) |
| STL | -1.7 (#127) | -3.5 (#210) |
| BLK | -1.7 (#117) | -2.0 (#134) |
| 3PM | -4.1 (#228) | -2.4 (#159) |
| FG% | -2.0 (#121) | -2.1 (#126) |
| FT% | -2.4 (#154) | -3.0 (#180) |
| TO | -3.8 (#170) | -3.6 (#160) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Duncan Robinson: 3 games (Tue BOS, Fri @MIA, Sun @PHI).
- Ziaire Williams: 3 games (Wed GSW, Fri LAC, Sun @UTA).
Recent games
- Duncan Robinson: 26.3 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 21.1 on the board.
- Ziaire Williams: 24.3 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 19.5 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Duncan Robinson playing tonight? · Is Ziaire Williams playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Duncan Robinson or Ziaire Williams?
Points leagues: Duncan Robinson. 21.1 fantasy points per game against 19.5, 189th on our board to 212th. 9-cat leagues: Duncan Robinson again, -2.5 in summed z-scores against -2.5 (156th to 157th).
Who wins more categories, Duncan Robinson or Ziaire Williams?
Category by category, Duncan Robinson is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and TO) and Ziaire Williams in 3 (STL, BLK and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Duncan Robinson or Ziaire Williams?
Duncan Robinson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Ziaire Williams 3. For that week alone, start Duncan Robinson: 63.2 projected fantasy points to 58.5 for Ziaire Williams.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 6:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number