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Jakob Poeltl vs T.J. McConnell: who to start in Week 3

Jakob Poeltl plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), T.J. McConnell 3, an even 0.0 projected fantasy points each. Over the season, Jakob Poeltl leads in points leagues (23.1 fantasy points a game to 22.1) and T.J. McConnell in 9-cat leagues (175th against 176th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Nov 3, 12:36 AM ET.

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Jakob Poeltl
CTORage 31OUT
Points leagues
#167
23.1 FP/G, slot 14.11
9-cat leagues
#176
-3.0 z, slot 15.08

Out (Shoulder)

The pick in points leagues.

T.J. McConnell
PGINDage 34OUT
Points leagues
#181
22.1 FP/G, slot 16.01
9-cat leagues
#175
-2.9 z, slot 15.07

Out (Hamstring)

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Jakob Poeltl. 23.1 fantasy points per game against 22.1, 167th on our board to 181st.

9-cat leagues: T.J. McConnell instead, -2.9 in summed z-scores against -3.0 (175th to 176th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Jakob Poeltl is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and T.J. McConnell in 4 (AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, T.J. McConnell produces more: 46.3 fantasy points to 34.9, on 17.2 minutes a night against 23.8. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Jakob Poeltl plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), T.J. McConnell 3, an even 0.0 projected fantasy points each.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameJakob PoeltlT.J. McConnell
Fantasy points per game23.122.1
Minutes23.817.2
PointsPTS9.29.4
ReboundsREB6.72.2
AssistsAST1.85.1
StealsSTL0.81.0
BlocksBLK0.60.2
Threes3PM0.00.3
Field goal %FG%67.5%53.8%
Free throw %FT%59.2%86.2%
TurnoversTO1.11.1
Games, 2025-264656

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Jakob PoeltlT.J. McConnell
Fantasy points34.946.3
Points13.919.6
Rebounds10.24.6
Assists2.710.7
Steals1.22.1
Blocks0.90.4
Threes0.00.6
Turnovers1.62.4

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJakob PoeltlT.J. McConnell
PointsPTS-1.3-1.3
ReboundsREB+0.4-1.6
AssistsAST-1.0+0.7
StealsSTL-0.7-0.2
BlocksBLK-0.1-1.0
Threes3PM-1.7-1.4
Field goal percentageFG%+1.8+0.7
Free throw percentageFT%-1.4+0.1
TurnoversTO+1.1+1.0
Total-3.0-2.9

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting assists, steals, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Jakob Poeltl.

PuntJakob PoeltlT.J. McConnell
PTS-1.7 (#155)-1.7 (#154)
REB-3.7 (#229)-1.5 (#114)
AST-2.1 (#154)-3.7 (#235)
STL-2.5 (#168)-2.9 (#186)
BLK-3.2 (#181)-2.1 (#133)
3PM-1.2 (#104)-1.6 (#122)
FG%-5.5 (#273)-3.9 (#205)
FT%-1.6 (#121)-3.0 (#187)
TO-4.3 (#184)-4.1 (#177)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 432 ranked players.

Week 3 (Nov 2-8)

  • Jakob Poeltl: 3 games (Mon @LAC, Wed @DEN, Fri @MIL), 1 back-to-back, listed Out.
  • T.J. McConnell: 3 games (Mon ATL, Wed @MEM, Sat DEN), 1 back-to-back, listed Out.

Every team's games this week · Week 3 streamers

Recent games

  • Jakob Poeltl: 15.5 fantasy points a game over his last 5 of 2026-27, against 23.1 on the board.
  • T.J. McConnell: 24.5 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 22.1 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Jakob Poeltl playing tonight? · Is T.J. McConnell playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jakob Poeltl or T.J. McConnell?

    Points leagues: Jakob Poeltl. 23.1 fantasy points per game against 22.1, 167th on our board to 181st. 9-cat leagues: T.J. McConnell instead, -2.9 in summed z-scores against -3.0 (175th to 176th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Jakob Poeltl or T.J. McConnell?

    Category by category, Jakob Poeltl is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and T.J. McConnell in 4 (AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 3, Jakob Poeltl or T.J. McConnell?

    Jakob Poeltl plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), T.J. McConnell 3, an even 0.0 projected fantasy points each.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 12:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number