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Robert Williams III vs T.J. McConnell: who to start in Week 3

Robert Williams III plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), T.J. McConnell 3. For that week alone, start Robert Williams III: 88.5 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for T.J. McConnell. Over the season, Robert Williams III leads in both formats: 22.1 fantasy points a game to 22.1, and 115th against 175th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Nov 3, 12:36 AM ET.

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Points leagues
#180
22.1 FP/G, slot 15.12
9-cat leagues
#115
-1.6 z, slot 10.07, $6

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

T.J. McConnell
PGINDage 34OUT
Points leagues
#181
22.1 FP/G, slot 16.01
9-cat leagues
#175
-2.9 z, slot 15.07

Out (Hamstring)

The call

Points leagues: Robert Williams III. 22.1 fantasy points per game against 22.1, 180th on our board to 181st.

9-cat leagues: Robert Williams III again, -1.6 in summed z-scores against -2.9 (115th to 175th).

Category by category, Robert Williams III is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and T.J. McConnell in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Robert Williams III produces more: 46.7 fantasy points to 46.3, on 17.1 minutes a night against 17.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Robert Williams III plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), T.J. McConnell 3. For that week alone, start Robert Williams III: 88.5 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for T.J. McConnell.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameRobert Williams IIIT.J. McConnell
Fantasy points per game22.122.1
Minutes17.117.2
PointsPTS7.09.4
ReboundsREB7.12.2
AssistsAST1.05.1
StealsSTL0.61.0
BlocksBLK1.40.2
Threes3PM0.10.3
Field goal %FG%71.5%53.8%
Free throw %FT%61.7%86.2%
TurnoversTO0.81.1
Games, 2025-265956

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Robert Williams IIIT.J. McConnell
Fantasy points46.746.3
Points14.819.6
Rebounds14.94.6
Assists2.010.7
Steals1.32.1
Blocks2.90.4
Threes0.30.6
Turnovers1.72.4

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryRobert Williams IIIT.J. McConnell
PointsPTS-1.7-1.3
ReboundsREB+0.5-1.6
AssistsAST-1.4+0.7
StealsSTL-1.1-0.2
BlocksBLK+1.4-1.0
Threes3PM-1.6-1.4
Field goal percentageFG%+1.6+0.7
Free throw percentageFT%-0.6+0.1
TurnoversTO+1.4+1.0
Total-1.6-2.9

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds and blocks flips the 9-cat answer to T.J. McConnell.

PuntRobert Williams IIIT.J. McConnell
PTS+0.1 (#58)-1.7 (#154)
REB-2.4 (#163)-1.5 (#114)
AST-0.2 (#62)-3.7 (#235)
STL-0.6 (#78)-2.9 (#186)
BLK-3.4 (#190)-2.1 (#133)
3PM+0.1 (#56)-1.6 (#122)
FG%-3.7 (#192)-3.9 (#205)
FT%-0.9 (#91)-3.0 (#187)
TO-3.3 (#153)-4.1 (#177)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 432 ranked players.

Week 3 (Nov 2-8)

  • Robert Williams III: 4 games (Mon @DEN, Wed @PHX, Fri @LAL, Sat SAS), 1 back-to-back.
  • T.J. McConnell: 3 games (Mon ATL, Wed @MEM, Sat DEN), 1 back-to-back, listed Out.

Every team's games this week · Week 3 streamers

Recent games

  • Robert Williams III: 20.1 fantasy points a game over his last 5 of 2026-27, against 22.1 on the board.
  • T.J. McConnell: 24.5 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 22.1 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Robert Williams III playing tonight? · Is T.J. McConnell playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Robert Williams III or T.J. McConnell?

    Points leagues: Robert Williams III. 22.1 fantasy points per game against 22.1, 180th on our board to 181st. 9-cat leagues: Robert Williams III again, -1.6 in summed z-scores against -2.9 (115th to 175th).

  • Who wins more categories, Robert Williams III or T.J. McConnell?

    Category by category, Robert Williams III is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and T.J. McConnell in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 3, Robert Williams III or T.J. McConnell?

    Robert Williams III plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), T.J. McConnell 3. For that week alone, start Robert Williams III: 88.5 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for T.J. McConnell.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 12:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number