Jamal Murray vs Luka Dončić: who to draft in 2026-27
Draft Luka Dončić in both formats: 57.7 fantasy points a game to 42.9 in points leagues, and 6th against 9th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.
- Points leagues
- #16
- 42.9 FP/G, slot 2.04, $30
- 9-cat leagues
- #9
- +3.9 z, slot 1.09, $37
- Points leagues
- #2
- 57.7 FP/G, slot 1.02, $52
- 9-cat leagues
- #6
- +6.2 z, slot 1.06, $49
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: draft Luka Dončić. 57.7 fantasy points per game against 42.9, 2nd on our board to 16th.
9-cat leagues: Luka Dončić again, +6.2 in summed z-scores against +3.9 (6th to 9th).
Category by category, Jamal Murray is ahead in 3 (FG%, FT% and TO) and Luka Dončić in 6 (PTS, REB, AST, STL, BLK and 3PM).
Per 36 minutes, Luka Dončić produces more: 58.1 fantasy points to 43.7, on 35.8 minutes a night against 35.4. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.
Jamal Murray plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Luka Dončić 3. For that week alone, start Luka Dončić: 173.2 projected fantasy points to 85.8 for Jamal Murray.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Jamal Murray | Luka Dončić |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 42.9 | 57.7 |
| Minutes | 35.4 | 35.8 |
| PointsPTS | 25.4 | 33.5 |
| ReboundsREB | 4.4 | 7.7 |
| AssistsAST | 7.1 | 8.3 |
| StealsSTL | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| Threes3PM | 3.3 | 4.0 |
| Field goal %FG% | 48.3% | 47.6% |
| Free throw %FT% | 88.7% | 78.0% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.3 | 4.0 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 75 | 64 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Jamal Murray | Luka Dončić |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 43.7 | 58.1 |
| Points | 25.9 | 33.7 |
| Rebounds | 4.5 | 7.8 |
| Assists | 7.3 | 8.3 |
| Steals | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| Threes | 3.3 | 4.0 |
| Turnovers | 2.3 | 4.0 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Jamal Murray | Luka Dončić |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +1.5 | +2.9 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.7 | +0.8 |
| AssistsAST | +1.7 | +2.3 |
| StealsSTL | -0.4 | +1.8 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.6 | -0.3 |
| Threes3PM | +1.6 | +2.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.1 | -0.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +1.4 | -0.6 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.5 | -2.7 |
| Total | +3.9 | +6.2 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting steals flips the 9-cat answer to Jamal Murray.
| Punt | Jamal Murray | Luka Dončić |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +2.4 (#11) | +3.0 (#8) |
| REB | +4.8 (#9) | +5.1 (#7) |
| AST | +2.1 (#23) | +3.6 (#9) |
| STL | +4.3 (#6) | +4.3 (#7) |
| BLK | +4.8 (#8) | +6.5 (#5) |
| 3PM | +2.1 (#23) | +3.6 (#10) |
| FG% | +4.6 (#11) | +6.4 (#6) |
| FT% | +2.4 (#21) | +6.5 (#3) |
| TO | +4.6 (#16) | +9.1 (#3) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Jamal Murray: 2 games (Thu @OKC, Sat NOP).
- Luka Dončić: 3 games (Wed GSW, Fri LAC, Sun @UTA).
Recent games
- Jamal Murray: 44.9 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 42.9 on the board.
- Luka Dončić: 60.4 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 57.7 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Common questions
Should I draft Jamal Murray or Luka Dončić in 2026-27?
Points leagues: draft Luka Dončić. 57.7 fantasy points per game against 42.9, 2nd on our board to 16th. 9-cat leagues: Luka Dončić again, +6.2 in summed z-scores against +3.9 (6th to 9th).
Who wins more categories, Jamal Murray or Luka Dončić?
Category by category, Jamal Murray is ahead in 3 (FG%, FT% and TO) and Luka Dončić in 6 (PTS, REB, AST, STL, BLK and 3PM).
Who should I start in Week 1, Jamal Murray or Luka Dončić?
Jamal Murray plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Luka Dončić 3. For that week alone, start Luka Dončić: 173.2 projected fantasy points to 85.8 for Jamal Murray.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number