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Jaylen Wells vs Pelle Larsson: who to start in Week 2

Jaylen Wells plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Pelle Larsson 3. For that week alone, start Pelle Larsson: 66.0 projected fantasy points to 65.6 for Jaylen Wells. Over the season, Pelle Larsson leads in points leagues (22.0 fantasy points a game to 21.9) and Jaylen Wells in 9-cat leagues (178th against 185th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 27, 6:32 PM ET.

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Jaylen Wells
SFSGMEMage 23
Points leagues
#169
21.9 FP/G, slot 15.01
9-cat leagues
#178
-3.1 z, slot 15.10

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Pelle Larsson
SFSGMIAage 25DTD
Points leagues
#166
22.0 FP/G, slot 14.10
9-cat leagues
#185
-3.4 z, slot 16.05

Day to day (Ankle)

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Pelle Larsson. 22.0 fantasy points per game against 21.9, 166th on our board to 169th.

9-cat leagues: Jaylen Wells instead, -3.1 in summed z-scores against -3.4 (178th to 185th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Jaylen Wells is ahead in 4 (PTS, STL, 3PM and TO) and Pelle Larsson in 4 (AST, BLK, FG% and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Jaylen Wells produces more: 29.2 fantasy points to 29.0, on 26.9 minutes a night against 27.3. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Jaylen Wells plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Pelle Larsson 3. For that week alone, start Pelle Larsson: 66.0 projected fantasy points to 65.6 for Jaylen Wells.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameJaylen WellsPelle Larsson
Fantasy points per game21.922.0
Minutes26.927.3
PointsPTS13.010.9
ReboundsREB3.43.4
AssistsAST1.63.3
StealsSTL1.00.9
BlocksBLK0.10.2
Threes3PM1.90.9
Field goal %FG%46.3%47.5%
Free throw %FT%75.5%83.1%
TurnoversTO1.01.3
Games, 2025-266970

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Jaylen WellsPelle Larsson
Fantasy points29.229.0
Points17.414.4
Rebounds4.64.5
Assists2.14.4
Steals1.41.1
Blocks0.10.3
Threes2.61.1
Turnovers1.31.7

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJaylen WellsPelle Larsson
PointsPTS-0.6-1.0
ReboundsREB-1.0-1.0
AssistsAST-1.0-0.1
StealsSTL-0.0-0.4
BlocksBLK-1.2-0.9
Threes3PM+0.3-0.9
Field goal percentageFG%-0.4-0.1
Free throw percentageFT%-0.4+0.4
TurnoversTO+1.2+0.7
Total-3.1-3.4

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting points, steals, threes and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Pelle Larsson.

PuntJaylen WellsPelle Larsson
PTS-2.6 (#200)-2.4 (#189)
REB-2.3 (#152)-2.5 (#161)
AST-2.2 (#166)-3.2 (#199)
STL-3.2 (#190)-3.0 (#182)
BLK-2.1 (#134)-2.6 (#157)
3PM-3.5 (#209)-2.6 (#168)
FG%-3.0 (#160)-3.5 (#182)
FT%-2.9 (#167)-3.7 (#206)
TO-4.3 (#187)-4.2 (#180)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)

  • Jaylen Wells: 3 games (Mon @UTA, Thu @POR, Sat SAC), 1 back-to-back.
  • Pelle Larsson: 3 games (Mon DAL, Wed @ATL, Fri IND), listed DTD.

Every team's games this week · Week 2 streamers

Recent games

  • Jaylen Wells: 26.1 fantasy points a game over his last 4 of 2026-27, against 21.9 on the board.
  • Pelle Larsson: 22.0 fantasy points a game over his last 4 of 2026-27, against 22.0 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Jaylen Wells playing tonight? · Is Pelle Larsson playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Pelle Larsson

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jaylen Wells or Pelle Larsson?

    Points leagues: Pelle Larsson. 22.0 fantasy points per game against 21.9, 166th on our board to 169th. 9-cat leagues: Jaylen Wells instead, -3.1 in summed z-scores against -3.4 (178th to 185th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Jaylen Wells or Pelle Larsson?

    Category by category, Jaylen Wells is ahead in 4 (PTS, STL, 3PM and TO) and Pelle Larsson in 4 (AST, BLK, FG% and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 2, Jaylen Wells or Pelle Larsson?

    Jaylen Wells plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Pelle Larsson 3. For that week alone, start Pelle Larsson: 66.0 projected fantasy points to 65.6 for Jaylen Wells.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 27, 2026 at 6:32 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number